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Baroclinic Zone

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  1. 00z HRRR hitting icing hard. Still long range for it but something to monitor.
  2. Let’s talk about impending ice storm. Feel likes it been awhile since we’ve had one in New England. Some models showing up to 0.50” up in C/NNE. Down in SNE, effects don’t; seem as bad but will impact travel. We will likely see power outages with winds expected as a strong cold front pushes through after this storm exits northeast. 3km 18z NAM
  3. Upcoming cutter sort of sets the stage for our new years potential. Storm sets of confluence to our north not allowing system to cut west. I see it as a clipper right now unless the upcoming storm retrogrades fast enough to to allow heights to build ahead of clipper.
  4. Time to ring in the new year with a new thread. December managed to produce an above average snowfall month for many. What does the new year bring? The patter looks active the first week with the potential for a clipper to start off and more larger synoptic scale events towards the end of the 1st week.
  5. Don’t doubt it but that also tosses those QPF graphics of 0.5” still to come.
  6. 19/13. Pretty cool to see temp come down as we saturated.
  7. We toss those koochie graphics. Wish we could just bring some more realistic discussion into these storms.
  8. I’ve felt our snows would come in a couple pulses. We have this initial 700mb/850mb fronto and than we have the low transitioning off the coast and we see a re-enhancement over eastern areas as we establish that easterly/northeasterly fetch.
  9. For the SEMA folks, this band is not as intense as it was when it was over CT but this is still a solid band. Could see rates approach 1”/hr for a couple hours. For us it’s more a longer lighter duration event.
  10. FWIW, the 00z NAMs are locked and loaded for eastern areas. See how this plays out
  11. 700 mb transitioning to lower levels further east. 1st image 700mb, 2nd 850mb.
  12. Yep. Keep those mid levels intact as long as we can and it bodes well for us further east for higher totals. Players into the transfer of primary to secondary off coast. No sign of that yet either.
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