MANDA
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Everything posted by MANDA
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Absolutely agree. At some point pattern should adjust, has been SO persistent. Hopefully to something more favorable for more precipitation and MAYBE to something resembling a colder than normal November and/or December.
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I would think it would have some effect landfall or not. There will be a period of time where southerly inflow will be coming off land and Milton is not moving fast so I believe there will be some degradation to the structure as Milton passes close to but off the Yucatan coast for a period of many hours. We'll see. No denying the events of this morning though with spectacular intensification and textbook satellite appearance.
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Hopefully we are getting this dry pattern out of the way now and pattern can shift to something more active for the cold months. Pattern will flip at some point but to what and for whom is the question. In the meantime that is a dry looking map, especially for this time of year.
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Just a trace here from a few sprinkles. Dry pattern persists.
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Based on the data this evening I would not expect much if any changes with the 11:00 TPC package as far as max intensity or track. Maybe they nudge the landfall location a smidge north. Certainly the initial intensity will be UP.
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Dry week upcoming. Pleasant but dry and boring. Just glad this dry period did not hit in July.
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Traffic is building up this way as you go into Sussex County as well. Had a horrible experience at Alstede Farms many years back with horrendous traffic and place was crowded beyond words. Not enjoyable at all and have not been back since. Just can't take all that, ruins the Fall experience. Great place most of the time but from mid September to late October we tend to stay away, especially on the weekends.
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Just a horrible situation.
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Great animation of Helene life cycle. https://x.com/i/status/1840879894680780985
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https://x.com/i/status/1841151548589552072
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1,43" rainfall here for September. Y.T.D. total at 50.66".
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This is just so sad. Fear it will get worse as they get into the more rural areas of western NC. I don't think anyone thought it would be this bad. Flooding was expected for sure but I don't think anyone envisioned locally 30" of rainfall over 3 days. Anomalous blocking patterns and land falling tropical systems usually are not good outcomes but this is really bad.
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Yay for the 540!
- 1,154 replies
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- 3
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- tropics
- heavy rainfall
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Can't even begin to comprehend the anxiety associated with this. Please keep us posted. Prayers you make contact soon.
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Picked up .41" last 24 hours ending at 8am. Four day total .71". All of it light rain and drizzle. Nice slow soaking for the garden.
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- tropics
- heavy rainfall
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Looks like Cat. 4 damage along the coast for sure. Amazing though how most homes were wiped out to the slab (even with remains of the pilings still intact) and a few were left standing.
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I agree. I'd like to check it out for the day.
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Little light snow in Barrow, AK this morning. Currently -7F in Alert, NU Canada. We're heading into the cold season!
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Speaking strictly about wind and power outages. Track (and size) matters. Max winds and max areal coverage of power outages are along and east of the track. As it usually is landfall location and inland track are important. The people in eastern third of GA and upstate SC can confirm that. I'm thinking many in those areas were taken by surprise by the amount of wind damage and such huge areal power outages. For most a short distance west of the track this was not a big deal. Along and east huge deal. PRE was also super important to flooding. Helene moved quickly. Had there not been such a notable PRE flooding from Helene would have been far less. Just my 2 cents.
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Two day rainfall total here as of 8:00 this morning: .28". All of it went to good use as it was a off and on periods of light rain and drizzle. The rainfall along with cloudy skies and cooler temperatures making things look a little greener. Leaves are changing with some good color getting underway. Some of the maples are a a really nice reddish orange.
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https://x.com/i/status/1839548321347551518
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Don't see things like this on a regular basis. https://x.com/i/status/1839503993711525929 https://x.com/i/status/1839496312527401048
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Very safe assumption.
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Same here. Received .18" last 24 hours! I'll take it!
