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psuhoffman

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Everything posted by psuhoffman

  1. psuhoffman
    Already down to 44 here.
  2. psuhoffman
    I could open the zoom after I get the kids to bed. Like around 10.
  3. psuhoffman
    Again we will see. The hrrr only goes to 18 hours. If the new system goes to 60 or 84 like the NAM…well people will be like…. by the time the storm gets here!
  4. psuhoffman
    We will see. I predict it won’t be fun having to read through 3 pages of trolls causing freak outs after every hourly hiccup run. I hope I’m wrong. Maybe we’re ready. But I have my doubts.
  5. psuhoffman
    @Weather Will is slacking
  6. psuhoffman
    We’re going to have to put in some sort of ground rules when that happens or you’re right it will probably be a train wreck.
  7. psuhoffman
    I don’t think we get much rain. Most of the precip is behind the front.
  8. psuhoffman
    I thought I was being bold when I made my map a few hours ago…then 18z said hold my beer.
  9. psuhoffman
    You’re going to drive yourself crazy if you pay attention to every hourly hrrr wobble. God help us all when the new NAM replacement and short range ensemble system go live and are both hourly!
  10. psuhoffman
    Still waiting for your what can go wrong post lol
  11. psuhoffman
    Deep creek looks like a terrible place for this event I was supposed to go to snowshoe tonight with the kids. Decided to stay here for the storm and go tomorrow evening. Kids would rather play in the snow here anyways, it will be too windy to ski comfortably tomorrow, and I think it’s going to be a better even here! Snowshoe MIGHT end up with a higher total if they get some decent upslope but the more dynamic event will be here Imo.
  12. psuhoffman
    10-1 is still 5-7” for much of the area. Also I’m not convinced some of the ratios in the 1-2” per hour banding won’t be pretty high
  13. psuhoffman
    DAYUM
  14. psuhoffman
    I need to go do something with this…might take a while.
  15. psuhoffman
    Lol ya it feels like looking at those old school MRF unisys maps
  16. psuhoffman
    We all know the faults and biases of WxBell but at least they do seem to use the most sophisticated snow accumulation algorithms available and they calculate it hourly when hourly data is available. The SV maps seem to calculate using less sophisticated metrics and can be way off when it’s a borderline setup where calculating 1-2 hours wrong or misplacing the snow/ice/rain line a bit can have a huge difference.
  17. psuhoffman
    you forgot the key. @mappy does not approve
  18. psuhoffman
    I added start times, wind vectors, and DC escape routes just to make it more clear!
  19. psuhoffman
  20. psuhoffman
    12z high res Canadien actually looks a lot like the HRRR
  21. psuhoffman
    In the past it had a tendency to be wildly inconsistent beyond 12 hours. The last 2 years I've noticed its been much better...or at least no worse than the other high resolution guidance in that regard.
  22. psuhoffman
  23. psuhoffman
    RAP loves everyone. It’s like a group hug!
  24. psuhoffman
    I agree
  25. psuhoffman
    @HighStakes March is where it’s at up here. In my 15 years here we’ve had a warning level March snow 10 times. Feb is skewed by that ~70” month in 2010 but if you take that one year out March is by far our snowiest month!
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