uofmiami

1 minute ago, bluewave said:

We know that we can get Great Lakes cutters in El Niños as well as La Ninas. But some of the solutions showing up look as strong if not stronger than any December La Niña cutter of the last 3 years. It will be interesting to see if some of the stronger solutions verify.

Winds definitely look like a real threat for coastal areas, if the models maintain the intensity, as we get closer to the event.

2 hours ago, Rjay said:

Oof FSU @BxEngine

FSU has good D but if they played the other teams that made it they would get destroyed IMO.  It was ugly the last 2 games watching FSU's offense try to move the ball.  At least next year 12 teams are in the field, so this theoretically doesn't happen.

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Barely a torch before things get better by the holidays. 

 

Get ready for some fun

 

Light snow now in Syosset with a snow shower. 

Flurries in Syosset.

37mph at both Muttontown & Syosset for the highest gust.  Could hear the higher winds further up though with some nice roars. 

4 hours ago, donsutherland1 said:

Following last night’s heavy rainfall, deer were out and about.

 

Long Island needs bow hunting for them or population control. One was standing in the right lane just before Heritage nursery on Northern Blvd. going eastbound. This was at 6:30pm. Thankfully I was in the left lane otherwise would have nailed it. So far have already seen 4 of them hit the last 2 months or so on Northern Blvd.  NYS just puts up signs showing deer the next 1 mile. All good until someone dies from an accident with them.

1.05” total in Syosset & .86 in Muttontown. 

46 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Whole different world out here in S CT...inland it's even colder if you go just 5-7 miles....

I witnessed that one winter at Quinnipiac Law where New Haven was rain and Hamden was snow.  Crazy gradient that way & white knuckle driving.

36 Muttontown & 39 Syosset this morning.

.90” total at both my stations the past 2 days. 

12Z euro FWIW:

28 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Brutal forecast call-imagine this with a snowstorm?  6z Euro

Here’s 6Z euro map

1.37” in Muttontown & 1.04” in Syosset. 

Flood Watch issued for parts of OKX:

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New York NY
312 PM EDT Fri Oct 6 2023

CTZ005-009-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-176>179-071000-
/O.NEW.KOKX.FA.A.0011.231007T0600Z-231008T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Fairfield-Southern Fairfield-Western Passaic-Eastern
Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western Essex-
Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-Putnam-Rockland-
Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-
Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-Kings (Brooklyn)-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
312 PM EDT Fri Oct 6 2023

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Isolated to scattered instances of flash flooding caused by
  excessive rainfall are possible, which could be locally
  significant.

* WHERE...Portions of southern Connecticut, including the following
  areas, Northern Fairfield and Southern Fairfield. Portions of
  northeast New Jersey, including the following areas, Eastern
  Bergen, Eastern Essex, Eastern Passaic, Eastern Union, Hudson,
  Western Bergen, Western Essex, Western Passaic and Western Union.
  Portions of southeast New York, including the following areas,
  Bronx, Kings (Brooklyn), New York (Manhattan), Northern Nassau,
  Northern Queens, Northern Westchester, Orange, Putnam, Richmond
  (Staten Island), Rockland, Southern Nassau, Southern Queens and
  Southern Westchester.

* WHEN...From 2 AM EDT Saturday through Saturday evening.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in local to scattered areas
  of flash flooding of poor drainage and urban areas. Flooding of
  rivers, creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone
  locations is also possible. Creeks and streams may rise out of
  their banks.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Widespread 1.5 to 2.5 inches of rainfall, with locally 3 to 4
    inches, are possible, especially where the axis of heavier
    rain develops, and possibly remains for an hour or two.
    Rainfall rates to 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible. If and
    where the heaviest rainfall rates develop the flooding could
    be locally significant, causing disruption to transportation,
    flooding of basements, first floor residences and businesses,
    and underground infrastructure, and pose an elevated threat
    to life.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

SPC HREF:

11 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Extended HRRR crushes the NY/CT line with several inches of rain

Looks similar to what euro has been showing. 
 

83.5 (84) in Syosset & 83.2 in Muttontown.