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DMAC98

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Everything posted by DMAC98

  1. DMAC98
    Further S so should be a better run
  2. DMAC98
    Your resident n00b is as well ✋
  3. DMAC98
    The duality of man
  4. DMAC98
  5. DMAC98
    Zoo-wee mama
  6. DMAC98
    GFS doubling down is good to see, I guess, just hard not to be skeptical given its track record as of late. Maybe it'll finally pull it off this time...?
  7. DMAC98
    Left w/o comment
  8. DMAC98
    I've seen two solar eclipses within the path of totality, do those count? August 21, 2017 (Simpsonville, SC) April 8, 2024 (Toledo, OH - sorry for the shit quality)
  9. DMAC98
    Yeah this would absolutely suck, definite Deja Vu vibes goin' on here. 5-6 days out tho so there is time for us to eventually make this work in our favor (famous last words)
  10. DMAC98
    Both the regular and AIFS EPS look mildly intriguing for Super Bowl weekend.
  11. DMAC98
    We basically saw an example of this with 2023-24, one of the strongest Niño events in recent history, but it was east-based and had rather iffy atmospheric coupling + a hostile Pacific SST configuration to boot (-PDO). It wasn't horrible, especially compared to the prior winter, but it was still underwhelming all things considered. Our snowiest years seem to come during moderate-ish west-based/modoki events.
  12. DMAC98
    Time for us to have this on standby:
  13. DMAC98
    Just something to keep in mind. I honestly completely forgot about this. https://x.com/weathertrackus/status/2014021511263252774
  14. DMAC98
    I was about to mention this because the NAM and RRFS have it as well, almost like an appetizer of sorts. Looks to be on the Euro as well but it's well S of those two:
  15. DMAC98
    Northern AACO local jackpot lfg
  16. DMAC98
    Looks like it's been slowing down the past few runs?
  17. DMAC98
  18. DMAC98
    Dang it runs at light speed on StormVista. Still on TAU 114 on Pivotal
  19. DMAC98
    A week out?
  20. DMAC98
    Looks good
  21. DMAC98
    Yeah none of the ensemble suites had much of anything for the 16th so the fact that there's at least a modest signal for the following period is at least somewhat intriguing. I think it's also worth mentioning the CMC/GEM has a system in the area by that time as well, when it was never interested in the 16th iirc
  22. DMAC98
  23. DMAC98
    yeah this is an objective improvement, orientation of the trough looks better with more of a neutral tilt at this point in time vs. 18z
  24. DMAC98
    np Yeah I noticed it a while ago during hurricane season. My only complaint is I think there should be more localized regional parameters, there's one for the entire eastern half of the US but it would be nice if he could split it into specific regions like the Northeast, Southeast, etc.
  25. DMAC98
    The frames do seem to load faster/more consistently on Pivotalweather...speaking of which the GFS runs quicker on CyclonicWx so I tend to use that
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