wthrmn654

Gefs is 85-92 roughly speaking Eps is 85-95 the 19th to about the 24th or 25th roughly before cooling down a little with 85-90 rest of month. Can't really say if that's improvements or not per say but it's a bit more sustainable versus the rest of year

Now yes it's the gfs but it has backed down on some of the days it has been showing big heat for and a few days increased the heat.... coin toss at the stage of the game on the outcomes view. Until its actually hot and for a few days,I will be hesitant on what is being said. Actually looking past the 23rd or so now it's showing just 90-95s for many areas almost every day, though the 31st, a flip from previous runs.

Straight-line wind damage from several microbursts confirmed in west central Suffolk County on the evening of Thu July 14, 2022. A severe thunderstorm brought localized areas of significant tree damage from Lake Ronkonkoma E-NE through Selden & Coram area. Please read our summary report at the following link https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202207151641-KOKX-NOUS41-PNSOKX

Just looking at my station records on WU... as I suspected only 1, 90°F to date all the way back in May lol

1,333 outages most fix by 6 am tomorrow

1,346 currently

Power outages are over 1700 mainly on that area

Got to 86 here today

Severe thunderstorm warning

Oh OK that makes more sense since January your have had 1 90 degree day, same as me

84, with 65 dp

83 high so far today

Sunday/ Monday I've heard rain for everyone for a few days..... But I'll agree and believe after it's done. Lol

Northeast Drought Summary Cooler-than-normal temperatures dominated the region. Temperatures for the week were coolest along the northern portions of New York into Maine, where temperatures were 4-5 degrees below normal. Pennsylvania had the warmest temperatures, with departures of 1-2 degrees above normal. The dryness in the region has allowed for drought expansion this week with a new area of moderate drought in western New York and a new area of severe drought in eastern Massachusetts. Abnormally dry conditions were expanded over much of northern Pennsylvania and northern New Jersey and into southeastern New York. Moderate drought was expanded in Maine, New Hampshire, and Vermont. Abnormally dry conditions were adjusted in southern New Jersey and a new pocket of abnormally dry conditions was added to southern Delaware. Most of the dryness was short-term in nature, but there were immediate declines to river and streamflow levels throughout the region.

At least long Island is white lol

Does the ecmwf seasonal forecast not update? Its a broken record so far. Just curious

I mean that translates to temperature #s 85-90 any of those days though it does cool a little near to the end.

18zgfs says not so fast per say. Lol

5-31 I had 90.1 So actually I think I've only had 1 90°F day lol

You haven't had a 90 yet wow.. I have I think only 2 times maybe 1 in actuality. Today got to 89 now is starting to cool. Got on my parents roof without pulling a Mary Poppins getting blown off yesterday to replace a battery in transmitter.. oh what fun those jobs are

I would guess the sensor shield with a breeze is acting like an aspirated shield on say a Davis station. That's my guess with regards to that, maybe it would should have one 24hrs? Idk

The reasons lie in the region’s geography and settlement patterns: Cities heat up more than outlying areas do, Newark sits near sea level, and it is not blessed by the ocean breezes that can take the edge off the heat in New York City and Connecticut and on Long Island. (A somewhat wonkier explanation is below.)

Severe thunderstorm watches extended through nyc into Nassau County or just up to it

Got to 79 today. Not much to write about lol