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Everything posted by wthrmn654
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It's straight up snowing again and it's collecting on main roads that dot salted odd
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In on orient, furthest part of LI lol But yes briefly my station went to 34 but that's 15 feet out more up from surface it's dropped again
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He was instantly banned! Haha
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Woooo. Serious cold air fight right now, temp did go up to 34. Crashed back to 32!
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I'm so confused there's a serious cold warm battle going on! I thought for sure I was done setting frozen. It was moderate sleeting before, now it looks like pixie dust snow/ rain.. wtf lol and temps looks to be dropping again
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The more steadyPrecip is nearly done looks like.
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Is 31 not mis 30s lol
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Plows are out now.
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As I and several said colder air is holding out stronger then forecast, nam bust.
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All of Long Island is now under a Winter Weather Advisory through this morning`s commute. Large dewpoint depressions preceding the precip onset along with a more backed wind flow than what was modeled is helping keep temps across LI at or just below freezing early this morning with a slow warmup as the morning commute progresses. Blended in HRRR hourly temps with the previous forecast to better capture the temperature trends. Otherwise, more sleet and freezing rain and less snow has occurred than previously thought. Snow/sleet accumulations have been lowered, however ice accretion forecast has been bumped up in many areas, but still within advisory criteria. For coastal areas, the ice accumulation will be primarily on untreated surfaces as temps will likely be at least 30. Farther inland, better chances of accretion of all surface as temps are in the mid to upper 20s. The previously existing Winter Weather Advisories remain unchanged for timing, but snow/sleet and ice accumulations have been adjusted accordingly.
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Moderate to heavy snow, all is white. Now he's l hearing sleet to. Temp 30
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NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect for all but far eastern sections of Long Island. There were some light radar returns moving across portions of the area out ahead of a more organized area of precipitation across the Mid Atlantic that will move in after midnight. Latest HRRR simulated reflectivity shows weak returns generally passing to the south and east of LI/NYC metro next couple of hours. Only minor adjustments were made to the forecast at this time. Biggest challenge overnight will be how quickly the precipitation type transitions to rain along the coast and a wintry mix inland. Guidance is in better agreement, but their are still enough differences in the magnitude and timing of the warm nose aloft and surface temperatures to impact snowfall accumulation and ice accretion.
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Dewpoint up to 17
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11.1 dew point
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3km nam is got a decent freezing rain signal with that run.
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It's about 30-31 here
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then it's not warmer lol
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00z surface temps are lower then 23z for long Island. Lol not sure how that's warmer
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Rap and hrrr say city changes to rain sooner then my neck of the woods lol
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Earlier shortwave energy has moved offshore. Higher level clouds have cleared with some clouds around 5-7kft over the area. Can already see deeper moisture gathering over the Ohio Valley in response a strong vortmax over the Northern Plains. This vortmax moves towards the Great Lakes overnight. Low pressure develops over the Ohio Valley tonight with a weaker secondary wave possible forming near or just south of Long Island late tonight into Friday morning. The primary low will become absorbed into the secondary low by Friday afternoon as the system departs off the New England coast. No changes have been made with this update for overnight into Friday morning, with just minor adjustments made to sky cover, temps and dew points through midnight. Still appears that precip will begin around or shortly after midnight from southwest to northeast. No changes were made to the coverage of the winter weather advisories, but have adjusted the end time to 10 am Friday for NYC metro and NW Long Island and 3 pm Friday for southern Connecticut.
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Rap says snow till 12z then straight to rain lol
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Latest hrrr skew says I snow till 10z, sleet 11z,12z,13z and rain by 14z
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Parts of Jersey yes, most other areas don't hit 40