wthrmn654

It's not done yet

Hrrr numbers are going up haven't finish the run yet.

33 and nothing yet. It's coming

If you're going say that say where you're talking about....

Days below 40 streak has ended today at 43.3°F impressive from Jan 22 to today .

Here's a little behind the scenes of what is going through a nws head tonight... Forecasting potential extreme events ("black swan" events as some call them) is always a psychological as well as scientific challenge. Yesterday I hemmed and hawed about mentioning blizzard conditions for Long Island for the upcoming storm and went with it in the end, the signal was too much to ignore. Now I'm confronted by the latest shorter term models, which refuse to back down from extreme snowfall amounts from Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. How much do I accept those amounts?? I think those models are seeing what the European model still isn't, and that's the potential for heavy thundersnow with rates of 2-4 inches per hour for several hours, preceded and followed by additional snow at lesser rates. The European never gets hourly snowfall rates above an inch per hour, and with an intense storm like this that makes no sense. But if I bought the extreme numbers verbatim I'd have to forecast at least 2 feet of snow for nearly the entire NYC Tri-State area, Long Island, and all of NJ, and locally as much as 30-40 inches for parts of the Jersey shore up into western and central Long Island. Nope that's too extreme. I can be conservative and say as much as 20-25 inches for the former and 25-30 inches for the latter, there is still time to zero in on the right amounts. If the extreme numbers don't back down with the daytime Sunday model guidance and I can still provide a rationale for why they might happen, then I may have to keep trending toward them. For now time to get some sleep

Not every station is on davis network

Digital access.

I should go to bed I got work at 6 am but I can't pull away... must watch.... models

Thank you!

Can someone please remove jersey shores comment, is giving my wrist carpool tunnel feeling, (idk how to spell that) every time I refresh and have to scroll so much! Also anyone else having issues with site lagging or getting host error?

I have access to multiple davis weather stations with good wind sensors.. montauk lighthouse, that had 81 mph gust this fall/ early winter, cross sound ferry, and possibly work weather station.

That indeed!

I think you posted one before a quote that messed up and took pages to scroll through. Your quoted post is very much glitched lol

If there's wind maps showing 75-80 you cut that back a little, that's all 60- maybe 70...

KDIX radar message says it will be going down for more repairs eventually

52.7 to be exact lol

Mostly still dorky verified!

Please fix your post to only show this storm please

I think the sites starting to crash response time is lagging and getting slower and slower.....

Reynolds wolf in Montauk, Jim cantore in atleast nyc for now.

That's forky verified numbers right there.

Glad I installed a standby generator in 2016 agreed my house was built. Smartest investment anyone should do

Not jim Cantore in Montauk right now other guy is though maybe Jim will be somewhere else.

Nws says they never had a snowfall over 20 inches this late in the season before.