overcautionisbad
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Everything posted by overcautionisbad
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Oh man Pennsylvania is going to get slammed again and we are going to sleet. Or could this be it. Could this be the one. Let's not get to excited yet. This is what day 5? Think it was day 4 when things started trending poorly for us on the models on this last one we just had. I remember Tuesday it all looked so great, then Wednesday was like ohno December 2018 -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ok so now we just need it shift north west slowly this week on the models and smack us dead center Lets go! -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
So snow for Pennsylvania again I think North Chesterfield has dodged the worst of this storm. Som glazing, but npthing like forecasted. I don't expect a lot of outages here at this point *knocks on wood* -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Nothing falling in North Chesterfield currently. Trigged a migraine with aura walking -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
NBC12 still forecasts 0.25-0.50 inch of freezing rain from 3pm-9pm Gotta figure what I'm going to do for my workout today since the gym is closed. Wait, my backup gym Crunch is open I think, but my 2wd truck probably wouldn't do well -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
overcautionisbad replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Central Virginia is at about 3 inches. Just a very disappointing flake size last night. Small size reminded me of February last year. Small but constant sleet since early this morning. Mets are warning freezing rain is still likely coming -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
VERY IMPORTANT Richmond is not out of the woods yet. Tv mets are warning freezing rain was not expected to have impacted power yet and that is still to come -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
North Chesterfield. Correction, might be some freezing rain, but majority is definitely small sleet still. -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!
overcautionisbad replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Inches of compact white in North Chesterfield. Your feet kin of sink a little, but stay on top -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Storm seems a lote more dry than predicted. I'm actually not surprised tiven the surface temps. When it is this cold here it is hard to get moisture -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Heavy but small flakes in Chesterfield. Disappointing accumulation rate. Just ain't no 2018 -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Downed from 4-8 for rva to 2-4 and 4-6 -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe jt will be more dry than predicted. Lol -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Seen flurries all down Courthouse Rd and 288 in Chesterfield. Can confirm flakes in North Chesterfield -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
No doubt on that -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
We'll see. Models get a lot wrong around here though. If it rains surface temps will be warmer than what they say. Anyone know how Tennessee is looking compared to the models? -
January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage JV/Banter Thread!
overcautionisbad replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Man, idk Y'all believe the models today if you want. Fact is snow in Nashville usually means snow in Richmond. A changeover to sleet or freezing rain at night? Man, I dont buy it dude. Ive lived 3 decades in Virginia. I've seent the models get it wrong too many times the same day. I don't know all the model science. But I know it's a deep cold out there. I know snow at night here overperforms and snow in daytime underperforms. Just my experience. We'll see tonight and tomorrow. -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Dude, it's cold out there. Like 21. I just can't imagije anything other than snow can fall at such temps. 33 years of life here. The thing I can't get past is the snow falling at night. That's the thing that makes me question a changeover at like 3 or 4 am. A computer tells you it will rain while temps are 25. Are you going to believe it? I don't. I would have to see it with my own eyes. Until then I assume there has been a flaw or error. That's my gut here. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
overcautionisbad replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Euro 0z ticked north for anyone south -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Probably looking at 4.5 is my guess right now. Hard to say. If changeover is later or sooner all models could be wrong. That could change a lot of stuff. I mean I can see one inch or 8 at this point. Lol 0z Euro was worse for Richmond vs 18z. Shame. Honestly, best scenario might be the NAM sleet over ice -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Look at the GFS standing firm like a stonewall! Bring on the 7 inches. Hey and Zach Daniel at WTVR sticks with 4-8. I do believe he is including sleet -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
overcautionisbad replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
