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overcautionisbad

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Everything posted by overcautionisbad

  1. Oh man Pennsylvania is going to get slammed again and we are going to sleet. Or could this be it. Could this be the one. Let's not get to excited yet. This is what day 5? Think it was day 4 when things started trending poorly for us on the models on this last one we just had. I remember Tuesday it all looked so great, then Wednesday was like ohno December 2018
  2. Ok so now we just need it shift north west slowly this week on the models and smack us dead center Lets go!
  3. So snow for Pennsylvania again I think North Chesterfield has dodged the worst of this storm. Som glazing, but npthing like forecasted. I don't expect a lot of outages here at this point *knocks on wood*
  4. Nothing falling in North Chesterfield currently. Trigged a migraine with aura walking
  5. NBC12 still forecasts 0.25-0.50 inch of freezing rain from 3pm-9pm Gotta figure what I'm going to do for my workout today since the gym is closed. Wait, my backup gym Crunch is open I think, but my 2wd truck probably wouldn't do well
  6. Central Virginia is at about 3 inches. Just a very disappointing flake size last night. Small size reminded me of February last year. Small but constant sleet since early this morning. Mets are warning freezing rain is still likely coming
  7. VERY IMPORTANT Richmond is not out of the woods yet. Tv mets are warning freezing rain was not expected to have impacted power yet and that is still to come
  8. North Chesterfield. Correction, might be some freezing rain, but majority is definitely small sleet still.
  9. Inches of compact white in North Chesterfield. Your feet kin of sink a little, but stay on top
  10. Storm seems a lote more dry than predicted. I'm actually not surprised tiven the surface temps. When it is this cold here it is hard to get moisture
  11. Heavy but small flakes in Chesterfield. Disappointing accumulation rate. Just ain't no 2018
  12. Seen flurries all down Courthouse Rd and 288 in Chesterfield. Can confirm flakes in North Chesterfield
  13. We'll see. Models get a lot wrong around here though. If it rains surface temps will be warmer than what they say. Anyone know how Tennessee is looking compared to the models?
  14. Man, idk Y'all believe the models today if you want. Fact is snow in Nashville usually means snow in Richmond. A changeover to sleet or freezing rain at night? Man, I dont buy it dude. Ive lived 3 decades in Virginia. I've seent the models get it wrong too many times the same day. I don't know all the model science. But I know it's a deep cold out there. I know snow at night here overperforms and snow in daytime underperforms. Just my experience. We'll see tonight and tomorrow.
  15. Dude, it's cold out there. Like 21. I just can't imagije anything other than snow can fall at such temps. 33 years of life here. The thing I can't get past is the snow falling at night. That's the thing that makes me question a changeover at like 3 or 4 am. A computer tells you it will rain while temps are 25. Are you going to believe it? I don't. I would have to see it with my own eyes. Until then I assume there has been a flaw or error. That's my gut here.
  16. Probably looking at 4.5 is my guess right now. Hard to say. If changeover is later or sooner all models could be wrong. That could change a lot of stuff. I mean I can see one inch or 8 at this point. Lol 0z Euro was worse for Richmond vs 18z. Shame. Honestly, best scenario might be the NAM sleet over ice
  17. Look at the GFS standing firm like a stonewall! Bring on the 7 inches. Hey and Zach Daniel at WTVR sticks with 4-8. I do believe he is including sleet
  18. DT forecast is in. NBC12 as has higher. Im thinking more like them Think he's buying into the NAM
  19. Eur Also main thread mentions temps have been colder out West than expected
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