BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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He’s right. I will follow. There will be no more complaints from this fella. Snow no snow..whatever…I’ll just up my meds.
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Yes yes I am. Not proud of that. Damn happy hour.
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Both maybe. You laid it out pretty well. I do read all your posts. Base state and all. Maybe the second one…in quotes.
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Something has to be wrong beyond our comprehension. Or at least mine. Pretty much mine. Even the tiny bit of precip that moves through is rain with 534 line nearby and peak climo. This winter so far is challenging everything I think is correct at h5 to give us a chance. I just don’t get it.
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Easily mid Jan…this op run is abysmal. I know it’s the op run but jeez it’s brutal.
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CMC looks like further offshore version of the 12z GFS which looks like the Euro and also has yet another cutter because what was supposed to be a low in the 50/50 region has turned into a high with no low. I think I got that right.
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good call. because I can see already on 12z that its not gonna look like 6z at h5
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you just need better rates when its coming off a warm spell and you waste a bit more than if it snows after a cold spell like if it snowed on Boxing day this year. so there is some validity to it...not a big deal...but just my own observations at my house prove to me that sticking and caving of surfaces comes down to more than what the temp was a few days prior.
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It is nice to see the op run showing better chances instead of cutters. it would be nice to just get on the board and actually see it snow for once. Even cartoppers seem hard to come by
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That would improve morale. I’m in until 12z..or the GEFS say no
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If you are ever incarcerated that’s the right attitude to have. Godspeed good sir!
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Agreed. I will be happy to score with something sloppy for sure.
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GFS may have been headed in a fun direction at 384hr. The big ones are sniffed out at 16 days so keep an eye on it folks
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That ramp up can work out sometimes but the goal posts start to narrow and the kicker stubbed his toe. nothing we can do about it.
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^amazing Buffalo can get to near 60 with 843 inches of snow on the ground in Jan no less. that should be quite sloppy
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it only takes one Jan 16 type event to right the ship...just one. not a big ask really. doesn't solve our longer term issue of burning edges around the winter like when Dec 5th was a famed date for snow...but it helps...just like whiskey...drink tonight and worry in the morning.
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Well…I am thinking you won’t get 1 inch of snow before 10 Jan. If it’s gonna get ugly at least we are going ugly early. Learned that in the Navy.
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Maybe Feb? Who knows
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Wow. For peak climo that’s just……
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I would love it if the NAM Nest was correct. But I am not that lucky so it must be an error.
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Not a bad idea…if you’re gonna punt half of January might as well enjoy it.
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You’re not alone. Many areas are suckage. Mine in particular is almost always too far in one direction. So grab the shorts ,fire up the grill ,gas up the mower and let’s have the hap happiest New Years this side of the nut house.
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+15 for NYD? That would be interesting stat for the two major holidays.
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Hr 282 and hr 360 on 12z op GFS are great examples of what happens with out a 50/50 low. We get a result that begins with a "c"
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Good point I often look at 2m temp anomaly. My mistake.
