BristowWx

^I’d take this all day just for the novelty of snow falling in MBY

yesterday was hyped up because the Euro showed the 50/50 in place linked with a part of the PV locking in the HP and a good track. That gave us confluence and cold. potential was there...still is...but you can't shovel potential.

well we are not a D5 so we can still watch it. maybe this will sneak up on us and just get some of us on the board.

you have for sure. nothing good or bad lasts forever usually so we just watch it unfold since moving to Maine is not an option for most of us.

Really great point. My family lives north of DTW. No snow. None.

Hr 180-192 on 6z should be snow in mid Jan with that track. It’s not as depicted it’s just not cold. What can you do.

1012 low is a weak high. That’s what we want.

Gimme 50 on the GFS/CMC. Bristow sucks. We can’t snow even if you built a snowglobe around the entire area and shook it. It would take a really big hand to do that but that’s also not relevant.

I hope you mean Bristow not Bristol. Then we all lose. They win of course. But it’s not relevant here.

Yes yes I do. We have lots of time to watch it.

The plot thickens. One thing that makes me nervous is when the op holds serve…with similar solution…like 12 and 18z…0z will be interesting.

That sums it up. Nice post… tough combo to beat at D9

yup. anyone in that 10 day away Euro ENS total snowfall bullseye is welcome. I'm buying....Wonderdog is paying

yes that is often the case with many events. looks like you in that circle of joy as well.

I am trying not to get too excited and remain pretty firm on getting inside 5 days before erupting with enthusiasm.

makes sense to wait. Now if we see Wes in here...then we know its getting real

Gotta admit that one made me stand at attention. Not bad. Few days to go.

even he should know that's a money look at 9-10 days out on op run. sure it shows JYO getting 1-2 and RIC getting 12-24...but its all relative comedy at this point

p8 would likely make some happy.

Not sure either.

but its a 10 day op run.

60% of the time it works every time

really? NW a week out? ok

it would be comical to have some of Ralph's comments above included in the official forecast discussion. .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... For the end of the weekend, low pressure system centered near the Ohio River Valley will eventually move further east toward the Mid- Atlantic region late in the day and into the start of the work-week. During the day on Sunday, most precipitation is expected to remain across the western most areas. It appears like we are in a one step forward two steps back type pattern for the mid term our as our 2 minor potential events in the mid range went POOF like a fart in gym shorts. Long term is still a steaming turd show as we look at the ens means for some hope of winter but just continue to choke on our own vomit. Stay tuned!

I think it was DT that said years ago the tip of the trough needs to be around New Orleans for optimal track and impact as a general rule. East of that and it’s likely too east for MA. Above is around PNS. Imagine other factors as well. Probably not a hard and fast rule but a rule of thumb.