BristowWx

^I think that op Euro run was a little jarring with people worried this is the first domino to fall or just a blip

Cold however. There will be nip in the air.

^GFS say happy bend over and take it up the tailpipe

thanks that makes sense. the term blocking is thrown around a lot...for the novice you hear blocking and think we are in business. the best example of blocking, in my head, would be a long duration overrunning event where we are on the right side of it and it spits out frozen for days....that would be fun. my point last night was we see some of these fantasy range systems cutting into 1040-1050 highs without much resistance...at least on the long range models. if we had true block with highs locked in over NE this would at least push back and lock the cold in longer.

Why does it appear on the extended models that each potential event or low pressure system seems to scoot along fairly quick? I thought, perhaps in error, that the blocking causes systems to slow down and amplify. The system at hour 252 on GFS, for example, just keeps on trucking through seemingly plowing through strong highs to the north.

If you think that is bad the next one is a heart breaker…wall of high pressure in Canada and we go to rain on Xmas eve

We can’t have it all. Cold Christmas…gotta like that.

Woah. Not bad at all.

What does -25 departures look like at 2m? Like 15F?

What happen to the young carefree optimistic fella we all knew and loved. I hear the phone….it’s Ji calling from Jan 25 2000….answer it

^agreed. how often do we see the deepest shades of blue on CPC outlook 8-14 days over us for 20-26 Dec?...not that often. BN is basically a lock now.

On the board with a 0.1….things are lookin good!

yes but too far east and we are toast with having the storm track miss with and hit the fish...never easy

At least we almost maybe eliminated the need to say "there is just no cold air around"....it's around for once

Agreed but who knows how things will turn out. when you have 1050+ highs pushing down with 486 thickness levels you never know what your gonna get. maybe a fun snow squall line....at least if its going to warm up and rain between cold shots it will have a fight pushing the cold away from the blocking...we'd have to see some bad luck not to get something out of this between now and 1 Jan....really bad luck

I have to think there will be some mood snow even if its a heavy squall during arctic intrusions. those departures look dry and squashing for precip to occur.

That’ll be low impact based on temps for many. Barely 32. Maybe some wet ice on trees. We all know ZR above 30 is weak sauce. My 2 cents.

^wow

Sorry. Hate wallpaper it sucks. Just pay the guy and grab the egg nog…it’s practically snowing outside…haven’t seen storm mode in a long time. Let’s pray we see it someday

Yeah.

Oh it’s coming. Don’t you fret shits gettin real now…real…shit…real….I got nothing

With the -NAO/AO why is it progressive? I thought those indices make it not progressive and allow storms to amplify and slowdown.

It looks cold. At least that seems better than a maybe.

^such a good look there…we need a little luck…a miracle perhaps.

2m temp anomaly 23rd Xmas Eve and Xmas day