BristowWx

This has been a long winter. Normally we have some tracking to distract us. Snow makes it fun and bright. Now it’s just dark.

That’s true. You never hear “well folks big model bust…looks like that June heat wave is on hold as we continue these pleasant 70s for the next week at least”.

We will run out of 10-15 day periods soon enough. Then we turn the hoses back on and wash the car.

So close. One more 6 hour period. We will try again at 0z

Awesome only 240 hours out! And still 546 is all we can muster which gives us 0 wiggins room

Nominate that for post of the season

that was written for the MA forum to let us know find something else to do next 10 days or so...but just on official letterhead

good info. I do think we will have good years again. for BWI and DCA...essentially the 95 cities I can see feast or famine for a number of reasons UHI low elevation yada...but the fact that locations well west of there but east of the upslope zones are also getting shut out seems like the bigger story. If the SER is being enhanced by the warmer Atlantic then undoing that might be a tall order. So this new base state as many have mentioned is really concerning. It will snow again but the conditions it takes to get snow are becoming more of an anomalous pattern situation. The regular base state patterns that worked in the past here in the MA might not in the future as things are seeming to prove themselves as the models get closer and see the impact of the SER. I know there is more at play than that but if we need a -EPO+PNA 50/50 -NAO to even have a chance at frozen its gonna be long periods of time between winter weather. there is enthusiasm about el nino but if you without the cold/blocking/SER mitigation its just a wet/warm pattern with active southern jet. That's what is spooking everyone. just my 2 cents

No. It’s not going to snow again.

That must have been fun for those poor bastards. We turn up our heat and watch Netflix…they were setting themselves on fire to keep warm.

That cold push with that precip would be explosive to watch…snow becoming steady after midnight heavy at times temps falling to upper teens

That would right the ship as they say in the Navy. Tonight is the one night I did not drink during the happy hour runs because I had to work late.

If you get snow pack and 498 thickness I could see that happening.

Also of note the SER returns with a vengeance 1036 near Bermuda. This should be fun to watch unfold

The 2m temp anomaly would need another color…at the bottom…it can’t go any lower as is…ok

I leave for work travel 1 Feb…get your shovels ready…this one is on

It would be comical if we went above climo for snow this winter.

That’s a megalopolis KU event right there. If only this once

468 thickness in Canada…impressive

Haven’t seen that look coast to coast in long time.

No where to go but up from this run.

New month same theme. It’s not cold enough at our latitude. The deep cold never pushes through and the SER lingers to make sure it has no chance.

Who knows by that point but yes we are quite a ways out it seems.

Let’s get some good mojo going in here. GFS looks awful through 240. Let’s do this.

Reasonable post. He’s just looking at the models we are…what he is not saying if it’s an in and out or will retreat first sign of moisture. No one knows that I suppose