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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. GFS looking better than 18z, which was already a good run
  2. Why are we comparing the GFS runs at hour 48. There won't be a difference really until hour 90ish
  3. The GFS is running. Hopefully Randy didn't forget about it and can stop by for PBP, but if not, TSSN's PBP was great last time 'round so I vote him if Randy is absent.
  4. 18z GFS vs 0z ICON, and to me the ICON looks better at h5. if the GFS can spit out 6-12" with that look then it would definitely spit out at least that with the ICON look
  5. last time we had a big storm possibility the GFS scored a coup against all the other models... including the stubborn Euro.
  6. who's ready for their 0.2" of rain based off this h5
  7. wtf is the ICON? it looks perfect, it tilts negative, and instead of BOOM it sucks...?
  8. ICON markedly better than 18z. Trough at 96hr is deeper and more SW. Let's see what it can do.
  9. 18z Euro's trough was deeper, more neutrally titled, and more compact compared to 12z. Might not show it on the surface but it's better than 12z.
  10. I think the general consensus around here is that the AI model can't tell the difference between rain or snow I think
  11. 18z Euro vs 12z Euro down below. IMO the 18z Euro was better as the wave dug a little bit more, that's why it was a step towards the GFS.
  12. 18z Euro another step towards the GFS.
  13. ok Euro is off. all i'm looking for is a step to the GFS.
  14. Dr. No will run in 20 minutes. Prepare your drinks. Prepare your conscience. It's the most important run since 12z.
  15. What happened then? It's been mentioned a few times but I'm not sure what the premise was for that storm.
  16. Has a reverse March 2001 ever happened?
  17. The fact that the euro runs at 2.5x of the GFS might help it detect things the GFS isn't seeing, but I would agree with the fact that we won't know much until 72 hours or less.
  18. we would definitely need the CAMs to figure that out for us.
  19. The low is forming as the trough tilts, will be a step back but I think we still see some decent snow.
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