BarryStantonGBP

His site

Edouard redux tbh

Yes, don't be too sold on a recurve yet.

1. Southwestern Gulf: A tropical wave over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending across eastern Honduras, northeastern Nicaragua and adjacent marine areas. This system is forecast to move west-northwestward and cross the Yucatan Peninsula on Wednesday with no significant increase in organization. Some development of this system is possible after it emerges across the southwestern Gulf beginning on Thursday while the system moves to the west-northwest or northwest at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

andy and dalila came out

translation: the weaker she stays, the further west and south she drifts

I literally implied Irma in my last post because of the SW dip. What the bloody hell happened lad

@jconsor lad posted this https://hurricanehacker.substack.com/p/tropical-storm-erin-forms-in-eastern

What happened mate

2. Central Atlantic: A weak surface trough of low pressure located over the central Atlantic is interacting with an upper-level disturbance, producing scattered disorganized showers. Development of this system is not expected as it drifts generally northward over the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

hfbi said score a category 5 goal

000 WTNT45 KBAR 111447 TCDBAR5 Tropical Storm Erin Discussion Number 1 Barry Central Pub Forecast Centre AL052025 200 PM CVT Mon Aug 11 2025 Right lads & lasses, she’s on. The lass Erin’s finally laced up her boots after mucking about over them Cabo Verde Islands, and now she’s off down the wing at 17 knots; proper pace, none of this sideways passing nonsense. Got the Dvorak ratings in from the boffins, said she’s at 40 knots now which is about a Force 8 on the Blackpool Prom scale. She’s heading west like a winger on the counterattack, could cut slightly south if she fancies a nutmeg on the Azores defence. Midfield ridge still keeping her onside, but give it a few days and she might drift poleward for the big shot. Model spread at the end’s as wide as the gap in England’s back four in the 2010 World Cup. Intensity forecast: tricky one. Small lass, could bulk up quick or trip over her own laces. Pitch conditions are fair; light shear, but only 26-27°C SSTs so not exactly a warm pint. Dry air lurking like the away fans. Expect her to slowly work up to a respectable Cat 1 by midweek, then maybe start putting the proper goals in later on when she finds warmer waters. Models say she could be a major by full-time. CAM ON ERIN. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 11/1500Z 17.4N 28.0W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 12/0000Z 17.5N 31.2W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 12/1200Z 17.4N 35.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 36H 13/0000Z 17.1N 38.7W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 13/1200Z 17.1N 41.7W 60 KT 70 MPH 60H 14/0000Z 17.4N 45.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 72H 14/1200Z 18.0N 48.4W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 15/1200Z 19.6N 54.0W 90 KT 105 MPH 120H 16/1200Z 21.5N 60.0W 100 KT 115 MPH $$ Forecaster Barry

Will Erin score any goals? BULLETIN Tropical Storm Erin Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052025 200 PM CVT Mon Aug 11 2025 ...TROPICAL STORM ERIN FORMS JUST WEST OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS... SUMMARY OF 200 PM CVT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.4N 28.0W ABOUT 280 MI...455 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 2305 MI...3710 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES

Tropical Storm ERINAs of 12:00 UTC Aug 11, 2025: Location: 17.3°N 27.3°WMaximum Winds: 40 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 1004 mbEnvironmental Pressure: N/ARadius of Circulation: N/ARadius of Maximum wind: N/A

Top Category5Kaiju Category 5 Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion #108 Sun Aug 10, 2025 11:20 pm Just a quick reminder that this is happening in 25-26 C waters. This demonstrates that while important, raw sea surface temperatures are only one aspect of the picture when it comes down to maintaining a tropical cyclone. The June-July chatter about this season struggling with stability in August, Atlantic Nina, lukewarm tropical sea surface temperatures, etc. now feels like ancient history

ropical Wave Re: ATL: INVEST 97L - Discussion #118 Mon Aug 11, 2025 6:00 am Flooding associated with this 97L disturbance caused six deaths tonight in São Vicente, Cape Verde. Four of the victims were children. Link 1 Link 2

3. Northwestern Atlantic: A non-tropical area of low pressure is currently located a few hundred miles to the south-southeast of Nova Scotia, Canada. While current shower and thunderstorm activity with the system is limited, this system is drifting over the warm waters of the Gulf Stream where some tropical or subtropical development could occur over the next day or two. By the middle of this week, the system is expected to move northward over cooler waters, ending its changes for further tropical development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.