stormy

2 hours ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Another meager event.  Paltry .39".  Everything is nice and green due to the frequent rain, clouds, and not blistering-heat.  But these drizzle-fest events are doing nothing to penetrate the ground and charge the water table.  Dry conditions will take hold rapidly as soon as the pattern turns back to sunny and hot.

20/20 Vision

1.44" of rain last night.  The most from any single event since January 27 when 1.47" fell !! 

5 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said:

A flood watch down here ? 

Wow - That's about the same as a winter storm watch for the I95 corridor... These things dont happen much anymore...

When the Watch was issued this morning, I flashed it in my newsletter with an advisory that the blend had diminished overnight from 1.02" down to .86" thru 00z 11-20.   Who is correct at this hour, the models or the mets. at Sterling????  No contest.......... But 2 am has not arrived.............

38.2 degrees at 6 am.

Frost developed overnight in portions of western Augusta and Highland with lows around 32!!

39.5 at 6:30.   .10" rain Sat. pm

17 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Down to 40.4 here this morning, ALMOST in the 30's... I'm with Stormy above, I'm sure there is a way to track previous forecast's high with actual going back. I'm 95% certain his thoughts are right, especially for the western parts of this forum's area. I've posted several times over the past years of TERRIBLE 'warm busts' by NWS for my area. Sure, they miss low a few times, but that is rare compared to the 'missed high'. 

THANK YOU

8 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

lol don't tell me to proofread when you can't even get basic English capitalization right.  The forecast was pretty accurate for the large part of this forum, so your post about forecasters "hyping" the warm temperatures was nonsense - typical of your posts.

I will be gentle with you because you are obviously mentally challenged in various ways with additional very limited comprehension.  The forecast referred to was the point specific NWS for Augusta County, (not D.C.). Please stop referring to a "large part of this forum". 

The NWS specific for Augusta County gives a high in the upper 60's today. Not bad because a 3 model blend is 66.3 for this afternoon.  "Mostly Sunny" is in trouble as we have had cloudy skies since 6 am.   The Sterling NWS mets. often inflate daily highs for Augusta, often call for sunny or mostly sunny when it is mostly cloudy and often inflate wind-speeds behind a cold front.

44 degrees and cloudy at 8:30.  I've got to go and do some gardening, have a great day!

3 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

lol well this isn't the "Augusta County" subforum, it's the Mid-Atlantic one, centered on the greater DC-Baltimore metropolitan areas.

My patience is challenged with you!   Please try to understand that the the Mid-Atlantic Forum as you listed covers Augusta County.  You need to proof-read your Nonsense before you post.................

Can you understand this simplicity??????? 

7 hours ago, wxdude64 said:

I've noticed a trend of 'running high' last 6-8 months for my location too. 84 forecasted, 77.8 actual today. 

The latest 6-10 day from the CPC predicts warmer than normal for the tri-state region from May 15 - 19.  For the same period, the GFS, ECM and GEM predicts cooler than average!!!!

This has been going on with NOAA for a long time.......... I must wonder why??

They always err on the side of warmer than normal, not cooler than normal..........................

On 5/8/2024 at 4:12 PM, MN Transplant said:

87/88 at DCA.  

Thanks but sorry. My post was not about DCA, it was about Augusta County where with my high was 78 compared to a predicted high of 89. The NWS and others are often hyping temps. 5-7 degrees above  model expectations.

The TV mets and NWS were screaming about how hot it would be today. Near 90.

At 11:30 it is 72.  

Maybe we will have a sharp temp. rise from 1600 to 1800Z ???

.93" for the 36 hr. event.   April only provided 57% of normal rainfall.

Here in northeast Augusta I have received 11.76 YTD.    Normal YTD is 12.71.

.95 YTD deficit,    BUT ....... Agriculturally of concern.  Since February 1 we are 3.70" below normal!!

My low was 27.5 at 6:30.

The last 30 days says doom regarding moisture . DC and east have done great. Western areas are lacking. My April moisture is not good  1.92 vs  ..2 30 to date ...................................

A southern slider always works on April 26!!!  Somebody, start a thread!!!!!!!!

20 hours ago, Jrlg1181 said:

Yeah this one was a real nice event for the I81 Valley area..... Finished with 1.40 , almost double any event since January... Actually up to 2.10 for the month now... First 2 inch month since yep January...!

A few miles to your northwest I only received .67.  Whetstone Ridge up on the Parkway near Montebello at 3023 ft. reported 4.30"!!!!

Convection along the southeast coast is robbing lift potential over Virginia.

Robust dynamics to our west may be able to overcome.

89.4% at 3:17. A total failure because a heavy stratus deck moved in around 3. The weak radiation at 11% couldn't burn through the clouds.  Now back to 15% and the sun is returning but too late!

24.2 degrees this morning froze all blooming peaches, cherries and plums in my orchard.

Snowshoe has received 5 - 8 inches with mod/ heavy snow falling and 26 degrees.

27 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

I wonder if a +PNA would have prevented the earthquake.

/s

LOL  ........  LOL

26 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Today reminds me of Orioles Opening Day 2003. Except then it snowed.

In 2004 the opening pitch was at 40 degrees!!!!!

Its beginning to snow at Spruce Knob at 34F. 

6 - 12" can fall at these heights above 3500 ft during the next 48 hrs..

.63" last night and this morning.  Finally a decent rain!!!