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AccuChris

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Everything posted by AccuChris

  1. AccuChris
    18z Euro Ensemble…so close yet so far away .
  2. AccuChris
    It is not exact, but it has some similarities to the “surprise” January 24-25, 2000 coastal. The H84 NAM 500mb map is closely similar to the 12z Jan 24 2000 500mb re-analysis. That storm dumped heavy snow in the Carolinas and Virginia, Maryland, Delaware and I remember eastern PA got between 8-14” .
  3. AccuChris
    0z NAM looks primed at the end of its run .
  4. AccuChris
    18z Euro Op was a miss just east but also was better than its 12z run .
  5. AccuChris
    This past storm has 100-200 mile adjustments within the last 60 hours prior to starting. This one is trickier since its purely a phasing system versus a massive juiced up southern wave so a lot needs to go right at the right moment to bury everyone, but a 150 mile shift with more than 96 hours to go is not impossible .
  6. AccuChris
    18z GEFS slightly improved from 12z. Plenty of time still .
  7. AccuChris
    So so close .
  8. AccuChris
    12z GFS is looking much better .
  9. AccuChris
    18z Euro Op was a tad better than the 12z. Damn, 963mb low…tuck that into the coast and bombs away .
  10. AccuChris
    It is, but it is a big improvement over its own 0z run last night .
  11. AccuChris
    12z Para Canadian was improved for the coastal .
  12. AccuChris
    12z GFS is very close to being an epic blizzard but still just a little too far east. Not a bad place to be at this time .
  13. AccuChris
    12z ICON has the coastal this weekend .
  14. AccuChris
    As noted, 18z Euro drumming up a doozy next weekend. GFS had it for several days but has lost it the last couple days .
  15. AccuChris
    Howdy neighbor lol .
  16. AccuChris
    After 12” of sleet and snow, Im spent .
  17. AccuChris
    Still sleeting in Lebanon. Measured another 1” of sleet since 2PM making the total snow/sleet here of 12” .
  18. AccuChris
    Bouncing back and forth with sleet/snow in Lebanon. Added another inch of snow/sleet since noon so sitting at 11” now .
  19. AccuChris
    Mostly snow again in Lebanon after a 90 min sleet-fest intermission .
  20. AccuChris
    Measured an impressive 10” here in Lebanon before it went to mostly sleet. Big flakes mixed in but mostly sleet now…bummer…with those amazing ratios and snowfall rates, easily could have doubled the snow amount .
  21. AccuChris
    Sleet has entered the chat here in Lebanon .
  22. AccuChris
    Appears the sleet line has made it up to about the Turnpike now .
  23. AccuChris
    Just measured snow total of 6” so far here in Lebanon and continues to rip. Per radarscope correlation coefficient mode, sleet line appears to be right below the M/D line right now .
  24. AccuChris
    Up to 3” so far in Lebanon .
  25. AccuChris
    Latest HRRR still looks great .
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