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AccuChris

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Everything posted by AccuChris

  1. AccuChris
    The 12z Euro AI was better than the Op but was not as generous as its 6z run. Patience for now .
  2. AccuChris
    12z Euro Op says “nah”. Until this consistently joins the party I proceed with caution .
  3. AccuChris
    The 12z Para CMC is also onboard now .
  4. AccuChris
    Best underrated movie ever….oh look, a deli meat! .
  5. AccuChris
    .
  6. AccuChris
    The 6z Euro Op also was much more onboard as well so there was some overnight consensus for sure .
  7. AccuChris
    18z Euro AI 10:1 snowmap just for fun .
  8. AccuChris
    12 Euro Op still not buying next weekends storm but the 12z AI GFS was on board and the 12z Euro AI was not a full hit for us but was very close and much more amped then its Operational suite .
  9. AccuChris
    12z ICON went all in on the weekend system the GFS has been showing on and off .
  10. AccuChris
    Snow starting to stick a little bit on the exposed grass and elevated surfaces in Lebanon now .
  11. AccuChris
    Snow flakes now falling in Lebanon .
  12. AccuChris
    18z Euro Ensemble…so close yet so far away .
  13. AccuChris
    It is not exact, but it has some similarities to the “surprise” January 24-25, 2000 coastal. The H84 NAM 500mb map is closely similar to the 12z Jan 24 2000 500mb re-analysis. That storm dumped heavy snow in the Carolinas and Virginia, Maryland, Delaware and I remember eastern PA got between 8-14” .
  14. AccuChris
    0z NAM looks primed at the end of its run .
  15. AccuChris
    18z Euro Op was a miss just east but also was better than its 12z run .
  16. AccuChris
    This past storm has 100-200 mile adjustments within the last 60 hours prior to starting. This one is trickier since its purely a phasing system versus a massive juiced up southern wave so a lot needs to go right at the right moment to bury everyone, but a 150 mile shift with more than 96 hours to go is not impossible .
  17. AccuChris
    18z GEFS slightly improved from 12z. Plenty of time still .
  18. AccuChris
    So so close .
  19. AccuChris
    12z GFS is looking much better .
  20. AccuChris
    18z Euro Op was a tad better than the 12z. Damn, 963mb low…tuck that into the coast and bombs away .
  21. AccuChris
    It is, but it is a big improvement over its own 0z run last night .
  22. AccuChris
    12z Para Canadian was improved for the coastal .
  23. AccuChris
    12z GFS is very close to being an epic blizzard but still just a little too far east. Not a bad place to be at this time .
  24. AccuChris
    12z ICON has the coastal this weekend .
  25. AccuChris
    As noted, 18z Euro drumming up a doozy next weekend. GFS had it for several days but has lost it the last couple days .
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