AccuChris

Lets see if the GFS starts trending towards the Euro today. ICON and 6z Euro AI were good starts .

6z Euro AI has shifted slightly west compared to 0z and even more so compared to the way out to sea runs previously. Baby steps .

18z Euro still “all in” on major storm next week .

Here you go .

12z Euro tucked and loaded for next week .

12z ICON fairly wound up for next weeks potential .

Moderate snow presently in Lebanon. Temp 31° Sun angle keeping roads wet [emoji2957] .

I lied; it was still at 6z. Disregard. Down everywhere .

So far, 12z Euro wants none of it with regards to any front end snow Saturday, keeps the primary wound up and west of the mountains and pops temps close to 60° Sunday .

Picked up 1” overnight in Lebanon .

Well stated. I know a lot of people want the weekend system to cut to allow more height rises next week for a more bundled system but we cannot keep kicking the can down the road waiting for “the big one”. Lets not forget a week ago the models were jumping on this weekend as the possible “big one” and now its next week. Even this current event was supposed to be much more impactful for our area and clearly it is not. I would love for this weekends event to dump a moderate amount on Saturday and have the frontal zone more towards the east coast and cut off the warm nose to our east and let the new low ride the boundary into the coastal plain. Euro is not there yet but plenty other models are starting to hint at it .

Well, f*ck me I guess .

Light flurries have commenced near Lebanon .

12z Euro was not very good for us. Way too warm and amped for this weekends storm and was much flatter for next weeks event and gives love to the southern half of the MA but doesnt phase much .

Its very spotty and disorganized, especially for the second wave no doubt. It really has been banging the drum that very little accumulation makes it into PA tonight. Will be curious the final outcome tomorrow morning since the NAM suite has been much more generous .

The HRRR just refuses to be impressed with any of this for these two waves. Has basically nothing precip-wise for the LSV today/tonight or for tomorrow night .

FWIW, long range HRRR for wave #1 not very impressive .

Long range HRRR says “meh” with tomorrow nights wave .

Doesnt look bad this “far” out .

Absolutely dumping in NYC right now .

Another 18z GFS glacier run .

Looks like I picked a good weekend to be in NYC…lets see how 3-5” of snow works out here .

While the 18z Euro only goes out to hour 144, it looks very similar to the 18z GFS, FWIW .

Why not .

I have to justify my subscription cost lol .