BuffaloWeather

Making my cams public as im in the southern part of that heavy band. https://video.nest.com/live/AkBPrXWDS1 https://video.nest.com/live/Vviq8D95Q5 https://video.nest.com/live/aHG6JlGbqa

Getting absolutely destroyed here. Can't see across the street

lol you guys obviously haven’t been in a lake effect blizzard before. No synoptic snowstorm can compare

https://x.com/weather_buffalo/status/1746356796766232782?s=46

They moved the game to Monday at 430. Driving ban goes into affect tonight for all of erie county at 9 pm

Another event coming later this week with multiple feet of snow Arctic air pouring over the Lakes behind the mid level shortwave Wednesday and Thursday will generate again bands of lake effect snow, that could become heavy at times. Multiple feet of snow is possible with this second half of the week event, especially east of Lake Ontario. Oscillating bands of lake effect snow may just very well continue until the end of the forecast period.

Those rumors weren't true. I could see it being moved to Monday, but no chance they change cities. I can't wait to go, gonna be absolutely insane.

Latest Lake Temperatures 937 AM EST Fri Jan 12 2024 The water temperature off Buffalo is 41 degrees. The record high lake erie temp for the date is 40, so we have record high lake temps for this date.

I just got my power back. I was without it for 3 days.

Buffalo NWS went big. 1-3 feet of snow, wind gust 65 mph. Blizzard part 2 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow and strong winds expected. Total snow accumulations of 1 to 3 feet in the most persistent lake snows. Winds gusting as high as 60 mph. The strongest winds will be Saturday into Sunday. Blizzard conditions will be possible at times, especially Saturday night and Sunday. * WHERE...The Eastern Lake Ontario Region. * WHEN...From 4 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Widespread blowing snow will significantly reduce visibility. Strong winds could cause tree damage.

Point and click Saturday A chance of rain and snow showers before 9am, then snow showers. Areas of blowing snow after noon. Temperature falling to around 30 by 2pm. Windy, with a southwest wind 25 to 30 mph increasing to 32 to 37 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Saturday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow. Low around 22. Windy, with a southwest wind 28 to 36 mph, with gusts as high as 60 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 8 to 12 inches possible. Sunday Snow before 7am, then a chance of snow showers between 7am and 10am, then snow after 10am. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow after 10am. High near 24. Breezy, with a southwest wind 26 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Sunday Night Snow. The snow could be heavy at times. Areas of blowing snow. Low around 14. Breezy, with a west wind 22 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 41 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. M.L.King Day Snow. High near 20. Breezy, with a southwest wind 17 to 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Monday Night A chance of snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 13. Southwest wind 9 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow possible. Total snow accumulations of more than a foot possible in the most persistent lake snows. Winds could gust as high as 65 mph Saturday and Saturday evening, with somewhat lower winds then expected through the bulk of the lake effect snow event.

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... ...Powerful Storm WIll Impact the Region This Weekend with VERY STRONG Winds and SIGNIFICANT Lake Effect Snows... An anomalously strong (around 974 mb) surface low will be in the midst of passing northwest of the area Saturday. It`s associated occluded front will lie across the Genesee Valley early Saturday morning and finish its eastward path into New England throughout the rest of the morning and into the afternoon. In the wake of the frontal passage, the coldest airmass of the season will begin to pour into the region Saturday morning, transitioning the rain to snow across the western Southern Tier. Additionally, winds will shift from southeasterly to southwesterly behind the front and support widespread wind gusts up to 65 mph through the corridor from Buffalo to Rochester and 50 to 60 mph gusts likely elsewhere across WNY. Temperatures will continue to drop throughout the day Saturday, first across WNY followed by the Genesee Valley and north central NY as the front and cold air advection makes its way eastward. By Saturday evening, most of western and north central NY will see temperatures near or just below freezing. As the synoptic moisture lifts off to the northeast Saturday afternoon, heavy lake effect snow will begin to intensify downwind of the lakes as the bitter cold air spills across the region. Heading into Saturday night through Sunday night, plenty of lingering synoptic moisture and a saturated DGZ will support lake effect snows to ramp up east of Lakes Erie and Ontario. While the exact location of the band set up still remains questionable, there a fair amount of confidence that the band will not have a long residency time across on area for a long period of time. This being said, the band will wander across the areas east of Lake Ontario supporting some time where the band will lie across both the Buffalo and Watertown metros at some point this weekend. Additionally, there remains good confidence that with the heavy lake effect snow combined with a continuation of strong winds will result in considerable blowing and drifting snow, creating considerable impacts for the areas east of both Lakes Erie and Ontario. Travel in lake effect bands will be extremely difficult, to impossible at times. Did not upgrade the Winter Storm Watch due to uncertainty in wind direction and the location of lake snow bands, but it remains in effect from Saturday afternoon through Monday morning. It will become much colder with lows in the mid teen to lower 20s Saturday night, highs Sunday in the upper teens across the higher terrain and low to mid 20s elsewhere and lows Sunday night in the upper single digits across the higher terrain and low to mid teens elsewhere. These colder temperatures combined with the winds will support wind chill values to primarily range in the single digits with a few low teens across the northern Finger Lakes. By Monday, a deep cut off low over southern Hudson Bay will slowly weaken and retrograde west back into northern Ontario. Overall this will support cold cyclonic flow to continue to filter across the region and support the lake effect snow to persist east of both lakes Monday. Similar to the weekend, temperatures will continue to be cold with highs ranging in the upper teens to low 20s.

Figured I'd start a thread here, as everyone left for our discord but some still post here. If anyone wants an invite to it, please PM me. I'll be at the game Sunday!

We left due to the moderators here. We’re more active than ever on discord. About 1000 posts just today. The interface and accessibility is 100 times better than forums are. If anyone wants an invite, feel free to PM me. I don’t think there is anyone that wants to move back here that moved to discord. If you don’t want to join, you guys are more than welcome to continue discussing here.

The 1970s were a very snowy decade almost everywhere. Once that data is excluded the regression isn't as bad.

This map doesn't seem to be correct. All 3 of Buffalo, Rochester, and Syracuse averages went up when in latest 30 yr averages. The old averages were 1981-2010 with the new being 1991-2020 https://www.weather.gov/buf/newnormals New 30 Year Climate Normals (1991 - 2020) Buffalo: 94.7" to 95.4" Rochester: 99.5" to 102" Syracuse: 123.8" to 127.8" With this being said Rochester and Syracuse have had some of the worst winters in their history the last few years and when the new 30 yr climo norms come out they likely decrease quite a bit. Buffalo has had 2 consecutive above average snowfall yrs. I contribute that to mainly luck as we are a big snowfall climo with lake effect snow events. Some interesting data below

Video of last lake effect event. FInished with 17.3" here, 2 feet south of here over the hilltops, and over 3' on the tughill. Pretty solid first major event of the season, up to 22.2" on the year so far.

Year anniversary coming up in a few days. Little thundersnow video I did of this event.

As winter season picks up just want everyone to know here that we have migrated over to discord. If you would like an invite, please send me a PM. We're almost at 100 people that joined and over 10 being meteorologists. Anyone in the great lakes, ontario, and upstate new york are welcomed. Lots of lake effect discussion to be had with posters living all over the main snow belts in New York.

A warm winter is likely every season in this new climo. Buffalos last below average dec-feb time period was 2013-2014, a decade ago. https://www.weather.gov/buf/BUF_top10

There isn't much to experience. It's usually warm and dry. Not sure why you would be frightened by it.