BuffaloWeather

This is 3km on pivotal, that map is snow depth change.

I remember when this pandemic first started and all the doctors/scientists were saying that Covid-19 does not mutate rapidly like the flu virus does. They were quite wrong about that one. Seems there is a different mutation every day.

% received at least one dose by age Age Apr-19 Apr-18 Apr-12 Daily Δ Weekly Δ 75+ 79.6% 79.5% 78.0% 0.10 pp 1.6 pp 65-74 81.2% 81.0% 78.9% 0.15 pp 2.3 pp 50-64 57.4% 57.0% 52.6% 0.40 pp 4.9 pp 40-49 44.6% 44.1% 39.4% 0.50 pp 5.2 pp 30-39 38.2% 37.7% 33.3% 0.48 pp 4.9 pp 18-29 28.6% 28.2% 23.8% 0.48 pp 4.9 pp 0-17 1.81% 1.71% 1.16% 0.09 pp 0.65 pp 16-17 15.9% 15.1% 10.2% 0.82 pp 5.7 pp 16+ 50.0% 49.6% 45.7% 0.40 pp 4.4 pp All 40.3% 40.0% 36.8% 0.32 pp 3.5 pp % fully vaccinated by age Age Apr-19 Apr-18 Apr-12 Daily Δ Weekly Δ 75+ 65.7% 65.4% 62.7% 0.20 pp 2.9 pp 65-74 65.0% 64.7% 60.5% 0.33 pp 4.5 pp 50-64 35.0% 34.3% 28.1% 0.65 pp 6.9 pp 40-49 25.3% 24.9% 20.8% 0.46 pp 4.5 pp 30-39 21.1% 20.7% 17.5% 0.38 pp 3.6 pp 18-29 13.9% 13.6% 11.2% 0.28 pp 2.7 pp 0-17 0.35% 0.33% 0.22% 0.02 pp 0.14 pp 16-17 3.1% 2.9% 1.89% 0.19 pp 1.2 pp 16+ 32.3% 31.9% 28.0% 0.41 pp 4.3 pp All 26.0% 25.7% 22.5% 0.33 pp 3.5 pp

CDC says fewer than 6,000 Americans have contracted Covid after being fully vaccinated https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/19/cdc-says-there-have-been-less-than-6000-breakthrough-covid-cases-among-fully-vaccinated-americans.html?__source=iosappshare|com.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard

CDC says fewer than 6,000 Americans have contracted Covid after being fully vaccinated https://www.cnbc.com/2021/04/19/cdc-says-there-have-been-less-than-6000-breakthrough-covid-cases-among-fully-vaccinated-americans.html?__source=iosappshare|com.apple.UIKit.activity.CopyToPasteboard

Euro has less QPF then the other models

I don't agree with it either but its their personal choice. Those vaccinated cannot get severely sick, and those that refuse the vaccine have made their choice and accept the risks. I think you're right and we hit 60-65% vaccinations countrywide. I think that will be enough though along with prior infections for herd immunity.

You can get herd immunity through infection as well, like we have throughout history with almost every other pandemic.

All snow falling in St. Louis at 1:12 PM. I don't think we have to worry about our precip. type. That airmass is plenty cold for pure snow.

Whats more rare May 7th 1989 or Oct. storm 2006, not in terms of snowfall just time of year? I think I ran the numbers before and they were pretty close.

GEM

I don't think we touch May 7th, but I think we have a chance at 2nd place all time for late snows.

Extremely rare event for WNY

To show how rare this is.

GFS going to be a big hit, stronger system and even occludes and slows down a little bit

According to GFS the storm starts tonight and hits hardest during overnight hours. It's a little quicker then previous few days model runs 3z-10 PM

This storm doesn't really get going with dynamics until later tonight and overnight. Those rates are much lower than what we will see here.

Anyone know how to update the title to include the date?

https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/54815-upstateeastern-new-york/