The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a
* Flash Flood Warning for...
Central Niagara County in western New York...
* Until 845 PM EDT.
* At 449 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected
to begin shortly.
* At 423 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lockport,
moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
...Strong to Severe Thunderstorms Possible Late Today and this
Evening...
A cold front poised over southern Ontario during the midday will
push south this afternoon and evening. Since the bulk of today
will feature plenty of sunshine over our region...our airmass
will become quite unstable and thus favorable for strong to
severe thunderstorms to develop along and ahead of the front.
The strongest thunderstorm activity will likely impact the
Thousand Islands region after 3 PM...then as the broken line of
showers and storms push south...they will cross the counties
lining the south shore of Lake Ontario as well as the remainder of
the North Country after 5 PM. The activity is then forecast to
weaken somewhat as it makes its way further south into the
Southern Tier by nightfall. The greatest threat with the expected
convection will be damaging straight line winds and possibly some
hail.
Pretty crazy that an entire team of Mets that do nothing all summer except check temps couldn't figure this out last year. What were they doing all day in the office last summer when it was 90 everyday with sun.
A potent shortwave trough and associated cold front will arrive
late this afternoon. Height falls associated with the
approaching wave combined with diurnal heating will bring the
likelihood of showers and thunderstorms starting after 4 PM.
Decent instability develops with MLCAPES around 2000 J/kg and
combined with some marginal shear profiles some storms may
produce gusty winds and perhaps some hail. Though it appears
that the storms will be progressive, there will be the
potential for tropical downpours and localized flooding.
Nothing is really safe. I work in banking and there is more fraud than ever before. I feel like cybersecurity is more easily integrated into crypto than any banking transfers/purchases. Crypto has a large future.
Yeah false positives, too risky for me. Was going to go to Europe but sticking with the USA until at least next year. We have a trip planned to Chile/Argentina in March of next year, but even that might have to be delayed.
We were always due for a recession. We are on the 2nd longest bull run in history. I expect a 10-15% correction within 2 years. The entire market is propped up by the US government printing money. That is not a way to improve an economy long term. Its a shot of adrenaline and nothing more.
We're going to pay for all this rain. Watch in winter we get a drought. Usually 6 months cycle we see the trough/ridge reverse. Looking like another Nina coming too.
We need to ship this rain out west. They are struggling right now. Buddies in Glacier national park where I'm going next month and the sky is full of smoke.