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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. You don't get lake effect without pretty cold air, you need delta Ts of -13. Lakes Superior, Michigan, Ontario, and most of Huron don't really freeze so unless you get an extremely cold winter they don't have to worry about it. Only Erie is really effected by cold winters, the last 6 winters Erie has not fully frozen as they've all been above average.
  2. There is a huge correlation between temp/snowfall in every lake effect region. That is 100% a fact. I agree that it is not as big of a factor as in a non lake effect region, but more cold increases the chances of an above snowfall year.
  3. Nothing really changed, the last 2 weeks of November are going to be below average temp wise just bad luck and bad wind direction for majority here to be honest. Ski country across WNY and Tug will have 2 feet of snow in November which is above average. No synoptic threat to coincide with the cold air didn't help, just northern stream action. Northern stream action works in Jan/Feb not so much in mid November with climo.
  4. 2000-2010 was a great period of winters in Upstate, probably the best since the 1970s so I'd assume 2010-2020 would be quite a bit above normal
  5. Some of the climate numbers are insane. Saw this posted in NYC forum. Its moving so rapidly the last 10 years its insane. NYC average DJF 30 year climate normals…. 1991-2020….2020s….36.2 1981-2010…..2010s….35.1 1971-2000…..2000s…34.7 1961-1990…..1990s….33.9 At the current rate, in 20 years NYC will have Winters closer to DC and Northern VA. Average Temps will be 38-39 and snowfall will be about 15 inches.
  6. 6 straight above normal temp winters, that has to be broken soon. If we get a warm December I don't see that happening.
  7. Our 4 below normal temp winters at KBUF 2002-2003: 111.3" 2010-2011: 111.8" 2013-2014: 129.9" 2014-2015: 112.9"
  8. Out of the last 21 years we have had 4 below normal winters, 4 normal winters, and 13 above normal. We've had 6 straight above normal temp winters here in Upstate New York... Quote
  9. Great link! I did some research with New York Went back to look at the last 20 years from Dec-February in terms of temperature. You can see our snowfall is directly dependent on temperature (Makes sense). Out of the last 21 years we have had 4 below normal winters, 4 normal winters, and 13 above normal. We've had 6 straight above normal temp winters here in Upstate New York... Quote
  10. Went back to look at the last 20 years from Dec-February in terms of temperature. You can see our snowfall is directly dependent on temperature (Makes sense). Out of the last 21 years we have had 4 below normal winters, 4 normal winters, and 13 above normal. We've had 6 straight above normal temp winters here in Upstate New York...
  11. So much wasted potential next 2 weeks. We have a ridge out west and a trough in the east but still too early to get cold enough air for a snowstorm.
  12. Yeah that band is going to be kicking somewhere SE of lake ontario. It wont last long though.
  13. Hop on if you want. super fun game and free. I feel like im a teenger again playing halo 2 and 3 on xbox. I play on PC now.
  14. Long range looks worse and worse. Semi cold air but just nothing there, a waste of warm lake temps. Rather have it be warm and sunny.
  15. We have an amx gang playing tonight. The new one is free and cross platform. A few on Xbox and a few pc
  16. Yeah I would have liked to see what she averaged from 2000-2010 when everyone was way above normal. I thought shes been there for awhile.
  17. Agreed, the map is pretty bad. I think Carol in Redfield averages 250"+ doesn't she?
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