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BuffaloWeather

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Everything posted by BuffaloWeather

  1. From NE forum: Model gudiance has punted very early December for a few days now....we're gonna get a full torch for a few days there. But they are pretty adamant about rebuilding the Aleutian ridging into the WPO region by about Dec 7-9 or so. That should set the stage for some cold air bleeding down into northern CONUS and get some winter wx threats. If that 2nd paragraph is true December might be rockin.
  2. Looks pretty good for those that get hit with NW flow the next 10 days or so. Couple decent events. I don't see any synoptic hits just lake effect behind cold fronts. I like the end of the GEFS, lets hope it stays like that.
  3. Star takes up 2 lineman when hes playing, we 100% miss him. We have no replacement for him, phillips sucks. All the invested capital in the dline hasn't done much this year. We should have used those picks on O line. I think our RBS suck, Brieda looked good when he was in yesterday. Moss is slower than me and Singletary isnt much quicker.
  4. Anyone know how to check weather conditions for each game this season? I've gone to every game except Miami and only remember the home opener being somewhat nice out. It has been windy and moderate/heavy rain every other game. Our RBS suck so it puts us at a massive disadvantage. I love going to games in the snow, but think ill be voting for a dome with the new stadium.
  5. I was at the game. The worst game I've ever been too. It seems every Sunday it rains at the Ralph. It definitely doesn't favor a team designed to run 4 wideout sets. The ground and pound teams like Titans, Colts, Patriots, Steelers run all over us in these conditions. It doesn't help that our D line can't stop the run and our O line sucks as well. The weather has really effected the team this year. If we had a dome I think we keep todays game close.
  6. Yep 30 years averages are up across the board. I'm all about getting a big storm regardless if it stays or not, but for those that like snow retention like @TugHillMatt a big storm and a big melt doesn't cut it and that's what we've been getting the last 10 years.
  7. Same here all about the big one. Happy 1 year binghamton crew. craziest synoptic storm I've ever seen in Upstate. 40-45" across areas just west of Bing with 3-5"+ rates.
  8. "Lake Erie usually does freeze, about 90 percent of the time," Apffel said. "Last year was an exception." https://buffalonews.com/news/local/state-and-regional/when-lake-erie-freezes-over-continued-cold-could-reduce-lake-effect-snow/article_de9a338c-6d44-11eb-b73e-9fafd64107a9.html
  9. The vortex breaks down at end of GEFS, lets hope we keep seeing that. We also don't see a really strong PV, this will allow bouts of arctic air to circle around to our area, lets hope we keep seeing that as well.
  10. You don't get lake effect without pretty cold air, you need delta Ts of -13. Lakes Superior, Michigan, Ontario, and most of Huron don't really freeze so unless you get an extremely cold winter they don't have to worry about it. Only Erie is really effected by cold winters, the last 6 winters Erie has not fully frozen as they've all been above average.
  11. There is a huge correlation between temp/snowfall in every lake effect region. That is 100% a fact. I agree that it is not as big of a factor as in a non lake effect region, but more cold increases the chances of an above snowfall year.
  12. Nothing really changed, the last 2 weeks of November are going to be below average temp wise just bad luck and bad wind direction for majority here to be honest. Ski country across WNY and Tug will have 2 feet of snow in November which is above average. No synoptic threat to coincide with the cold air didn't help, just northern stream action. Northern stream action works in Jan/Feb not so much in mid November with climo.
  13. 2000-2010 was a great period of winters in Upstate, probably the best since the 1970s so I'd assume 2010-2020 would be quite a bit above normal
  14. Some of the climate numbers are insane. Saw this posted in NYC forum. Its moving so rapidly the last 10 years its insane. NYC average DJF 30 year climate normals…. 1991-2020….2020s….36.2 1981-2010…..2010s….35.1 1971-2000…..2000s…34.7 1961-1990…..1990s….33.9 At the current rate, in 20 years NYC will have Winters closer to DC and Northern VA. Average Temps will be 38-39 and snowfall will be about 15 inches.
  15. 6 straight above normal temp winters, that has to be broken soon. If we get a warm December I don't see that happening.
  16. Our 4 below normal temp winters at KBUF 2002-2003: 111.3" 2010-2011: 111.8" 2013-2014: 129.9" 2014-2015: 112.9"
  17. Out of the last 21 years we have had 4 below normal winters, 4 normal winters, and 13 above normal. We've had 6 straight above normal temp winters here in Upstate New York... Quote
  18. Great link! I did some research with New York Went back to look at the last 20 years from Dec-February in terms of temperature. You can see our snowfall is directly dependent on temperature (Makes sense). Out of the last 21 years we have had 4 below normal winters, 4 normal winters, and 13 above normal. We've had 6 straight above normal temp winters here in Upstate New York... Quote
  19. Went back to look at the last 20 years from Dec-February in terms of temperature. You can see our snowfall is directly dependent on temperature (Makes sense). Out of the last 21 years we have had 4 below normal winters, 4 normal winters, and 13 above normal. We've had 6 straight above normal temp winters here in Upstate New York...
  20. So much wasted potential next 2 weeks. We have a ridge out west and a trough in the east but still too early to get cold enough air for a snowstorm.
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