A deepening area of low pressure is progged to cut the Great Lakes
from the Mid-West and track northwest of western and north central
NY Sunday-Monday. Signals in the ensembles from the GEFS, NAEFS, and
ECMWF ENS are surfacing that show a potential wind event across the
region sometime during Sunday night-Monday night. Many parameters
such as sharp pressure rises and cold air advection behind a strong
cold front associated with a deepening surface low pressure match
local climatology for high wind events across western and north
central NY. Widespread rain will likely move across the region ahead
of the cold front Sunday-Monday. Stay tuned for further updates and
details on intensity and timing. Temperatures will likely start off
in the upper 30s to low 40s Monday morning and fall through the day
into Monday night.
Lake effect snow showers will likely begin behind the cold front
Monday-Tuesday resulting in accumulating snow for some locations east
of the Lakes.