SomeguyfromTakomaPark

Almost an inch of rain today so that’s good 

Does anyone have a link to the daily highs and lows recorded at dca? I’d like to look back over this summer. 

Really bad out today! Dews over 75 plus mid to upper 90s already. 

Pretty good wind out ahead of the storm headed to moco.

Another stifling day, at least we have a breeze today which slightly mitigates these 110+ heat indices. 

They should upgrade to excessive heat warning, looks like heat indices are 105-115 now inside the beltway. 

Wow 90/78 for my trail run in rock creek.  Just brutal. 

80/71 for my morning run today.  Let’s just say I got a little sweaty. 

2 minutes ago, IronTy said:

92F down by the bay.  When I left DC it was def oppresive my car's AC couldn't keep up when I was idling.  And there's some crazy traffic at the triangle at New York Ave.  What a mess.  Feels much nicer down here in the woods.  

Oh I was just at ny and 395, what a mess!

12 gfs has 90s every day clear into July 

6z GFS is hot, mid to upper 90s Monday-Sunday.

Very pleasant spring so far.  Seems like next week the gulf opens for business and we won’t sniff another dew point in the 50s til September. 

Hook on the moco storm?

5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I posted this earlier but then deleted after doing more digging… that is apparently in reference to the forecast for the early morning today hours that didn’t pan out, if I know understand it correctly.

Ah that’s too bad.  I’m really disappointed we missed Friday. 

https://x.com/matthewcappucci/status/1789471292019626407?s=46&t=qDiZ4OLDWEHuCHpMlLMkLQ
 

6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

From Google:
 

You can see bZ here. Right now it's fallen to -5... IIRC it was -50-ish last night.

https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity.html

Got it, so it’s like the NAO, need that bad boy to tank. 

33 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Quick read of Twitter suggests we aren’t gonna see anything come sunset… Bz is hovering around zero. Need that to change dramatically… which it can, but nothing yet.

What is bz and where do u track it 

Looks like tomorrow is a better chance 

40 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

CME modeling has impacts at around 8-9pm and again at 1-2am, my read is see how the first hit affects things. If it fizzles, getting some much needed rest. If we get juiced up again, I’ll stick around…

https://x.com/nwsswpc/status/1789411152566395366?s=46&t=qDiZ4OLDWEHuCHpMlLMkLQ

Is it over? Any chance tonight?

Wow ohio is looking good!  NY state gonna get largely screwed though.

Euro and GFS ops now both have precip for Erie/Cleveland.  That was gonna be my target.  I'd hate to drive hours out there with 2 young kids and have clouds.  I'm hoping for either a clear cut sunny day forecast or clear clouds.  50/50 is gonna be a tough call.

GEFS skunks the entire path basically, socked in the whole way across CONUS. 

We’re done, final grade, B- because we had a week of actual winter.