Powerball

1 hour ago, TheClimateChanger said:

 

Would be lovely. 

8 hours ago, st0rmbrkr said:

Why does it matter if a thread is started and the storm doesn't come to fruition?  Is there a limit to the number of threads on this Forum?  Is there nothing to be learned or discussed from a system or model that changes?

You have a point, but you're taking the banter too seriously.

People are just frustrated about the general pattern, and the evolution of the storm that thread was created for only added to the frustration. People tend ot become irrationally flippant when they're frustrated. 

DFW tied the record high of 80*F today, last set in 1977.

On 12/5/2023 at 5:10 PM, DocATL said:

18z GFS was a little bit of everything bad if you want snow. Some timely suppression sandwiched by rain events. Yuck.


.

Isn't that par for the course for your neck of the woods in a normal winter though? 

2 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

It will be a mix of disappearing storms and sneaky surprises. 

So in other words, the same as every winter...

3 hours ago, Chinook said:

You know, this is just past the 49-year anniversary of the slow-moving storm that brought Detroit its snowiest snowstorm (Dec 1-2 1974). Key factor: pulling in moisture from the Atlantic.

 

2nd biggest snowstom for Detroit (~19") ..

Biggest was back in the 1880s (in April at that) with ~23" ~2 feet

lol.

1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

It's crazy how far removed we are from the "hey day" of weather boards. I think the declining popularity of internet forums in general plays a big role (many seem to gravitate to personal chats on messenger or other platforms), as does the increasing amount of trolls and/or people who arent even on a weather board to discuss weather.

I wouldn't necessarily say Internet forums are declining.

I'd say it's a combination of:

*Millennials getting older, busy with their careers and have settled down with kids/partners. Even during the hey dey, the weather boards were mostly a teen and early 20-something ordeal, a time when you have virtually no responsibilities, good health and are full of adrenaline. Gen Z and Alpha are also smaller in size than Millennials were (thus a smaller audience of young weather weenies as a whole).

*Society has become a lot more, socially, politically and economically polarized since the 2000s and early 2010s. So much of the community is now bifurcated into our own little echo chambers.

It's been a while since I've seen a severe weather setup bust as bad as this one.

On 11/8/2023 at 9:40 AM, A-L-E-K said:

in-n-out is bad tho

To each his/her own.

The food itself is not fancy or gourmet, but it's about the entire experience. At In-N-Out, you always get excellent customer service, fresh food and the lines are fast. The prices are also relatively low.

Culver's is good too, but a lot of its food (besides the Ice Cream) is frozen/prepackaged, service can be inconsistent and it's more expensive.

But regardless, we're still a long ways off before In-N-Out's palm trees can survive a Great Lakes winter.

1 minute ago, A-L-E-K said:

this will forever be culvers country

Some of us lucky few are blessed to live in a region with both.

On 11/7/2023 at 6:59 AM, A-L-E-K said:

happening quick now, all of us under 40 should live to see palm great lakes

Maybe then, y'all can experience the greatness that is In-N-Out...

16 hours ago, Frog Town said:

Has there ever been a hurricane intensify that quickly, in recorded history at least??

With the unprecedented warmth of the waters down there, I'm actually a bit surprised it took until this late in the season for a Hurricane Otis.

The US shoreline really dodged a bullet this season.

19 hours ago, wxman_ind said:

Yes, this is the reasoning behind it. Criteria is for an event, not a 12 or 24 hour period.

And the truth is, the criteria is somewhat arbitrary and will never be perfect. Just as before, the decision for headlines will ultimately boil down to forecaster judgement.

I can also understand the west-wind LES belts in MI having a slughtly higher threshold of 8", as they see heavy snow events more frequently.

So in effect, the NWS is just simplifying the criteria for WSW.

As an example, going forward, a 7" snowfall would meet the critetia for a Winter Storm whether it falls in 12 hours or 24 hours.

On 10/10/2023 at 1:50 PM, Powerball said:

Now that the 90s & 100s seem to be mostly gone for good (for sure after this Thursday)...

Revisiting this post, it's crazy how many records we set or tied this Summer, for it being mostly backloaded.

1980 and 2011 both still reign as kings, but this year was definitely a solid runner up behind the 2 by most measures.

And that doesn't even speak to September. I suspect JAS period was also amongst the warmest on record for DFW, similar to how MJJ was in 2022.

Welp, might have spoke too soon about those 90s, lol...

9 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Definitely the cloudiest October I can remember. High temps have been colder than average for 11 straight days and counting but no frost/freeze yet (should change early next week).

I'll take 55 days of 100*F+ weather over that crap any time. Don't miss that *AT* *ALL*

Meanwhile, it's been sunshine and blue skies as far as the eye can see here.

#GodBlessTheSunbelt

3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

 

How lovely...

21 minutes ago, Brian D said:

Watching on YT this very moment. Beautiful! As I post this, it's just now starting to break in NM. 10 mins to go in Kerrville TX.

 

You can also the Visible Satellite go dim as well...

https://www.aviationweather.gov/satellite/plot?region=us&type=vis&date=

Currently at a mall parking garage to watch the Annular Solar Eclipse, as an appetizer for the real fun 6 months from now. 

Hopefully, you guys have much better luck weather-wise by then...

1 minute ago, hardypalmguy said:

Well bless your heart.

I have no dog in the fight either way, since I already live in a region where warm/snowless winters are all but guaranteed. I'm mostly here for the lulz.

Still, was just making an observation as a bystander who means no harm...

1 hour ago, hardypalmguy said:

I’ve already posted evidence. Plus I also include my own forecasting methods.

Spamming the board with images of the shitty CFS model isn't very scientific of a forecast method.

Just saying...

28 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

I was too young for Sillars. Ive always heard Sonny Elliot was incredible. Jerry Hodak was always my favorite. Now I dont really pay attention to or care for any of the media mets. Im all about the NWS.

If you listened to WWJ (950 AM) during the afternoon rush in the 2000s, Sonny Eliot was the regular on-air metereologist. This was long after he had retired from TV (he was the Chief Meteorologist at WDIV until the late 70s).

While he was a fine weatherman, he wasn't nearly as revered as Tom Skilling has been for his technical expertise. It was more so his personality and eccentric way of delivering forecasts that won him favor with his audience. What was unique about him was that he was always perky on-camera (although I heard he was kind of difficult to work with behind the scenes), cracking jokes and speaking in riddles.

https://youtu.be/0WyBMhnmGb8?si=Mz1fmA1iaEGLbCmm

4 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

We have actually had quite a few cold and snowy Novembers the last decade. Some of it is superstition, but a more recent trend is that you WANT the snow to hold off until December for the sake of a better winter. 

I was going to ask you aboutt that and I'm glad you addressed it, because I figured (and I recall you saying in the past) there wasn't the greatest correlation historically between November weather and how winters end up.

Definitely gotta be careful with putting too much weight on any recent trends.