Bob Chill
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Everything posted by Bob Chill
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18z fv3 pushes the .50 line to the mason dixon. These are just shocking developments
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Looks like the gfs is one run away from joining the ull energy party imho. I couldnt find sour diesel for my generator so i'll have some girl scout cookies to tie me over
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This is going to give you a taste of a solid MD event. At least half of our events cant cover the roads. This is going to be a memorable one. I might be too low with 4-6" guess...
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Confirmed. Road is starting to cave. Didn't expect a coating like this before dark.
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18z looking good for the northern crew. Whooda thought?
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Couple yelloe pixels showing up in the band approaching ezf. Baltimore crew minutes away from first flakes. Good times
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Only a matter of time. Looking forward to my late night illegal walk at the nature center around midnight
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Grass, driveway, and sidewalk caving. Roads holding out
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Here's a post for the northern crew. Icon pushing warning snows to the mason dixon. Hug at your leisure
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My 400 feet of elevation is money
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Hood of truck and patio table caved. I'll remain vigilant and shelter in place
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18z icon still loves the trailing energy/ccb. Mix line is wrong on this panel but the moco deathband isnt
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Damn leesburg. Did that cardinal eat your cat?
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Finally getting consistent very light snow but i can see the rockville death band to the south ready to move in. The real fun starts later tonight when yellows start showing up on radar...
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If you have a front or all wheel drive it will be a breeze. Roads will be mostly empty
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Radar filling in nicely in nova and towards dc. Accums should start there before dark
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Models have all shown that accumulating snow wont happen until sometime after 5pm. Good stuff not till much later. Give it some time before worrying about mountains and such
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One more tidbit from your earlier question... the way you and me get 6-8 or even more is when the trailing upper level energy moves through. The exact location and jackpots from that piece are really hard to nail down until it's happening. That part could feature high ratio/fluffy dendrites. If things line up there will be embedded bands within the shield. Get under 1 or 2 of those bands and you can get a nice thump of quick accumulations. Just pray or sacrifice chickens and hope it happens over your yard.
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Colder in the column than or typical event but not that cold so agree. If it's easy to shovel and crappy for snowballs then it qualifies
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What? They've been posting all day
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Unless things fall apart we should be a lock for 4"+. Somewhere around 6" high end. Just best guess based on all data. Over 6" is possible but everything needs to breal right and it usually doesnt
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First legit radar returns in wv panhandle. Expecting some excited obs from our western crew within the hour
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Irrelevant mean qpf panel but eps strongly supports the op increase in qpf.
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Lightest snow possible commencing in Rockville.
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It's tricky. I'm a little skeptical of the euro qpf output for the trailing energy as it is. A range if 4-10" is already a significant event for what transpires in the upper levels. This isn't a classic miller A at all.
