Picard
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Sharp cutoffs continue to be a feature. This will be fun this winter. I'm up to 0.30" event total from 0.21" overnight. Wind is howling this morning. I didn't witness any power outages as of yet in my travels out this way.- 731 replies
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- heavy rain
- damaging wind
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Looking solid for the coast now. Stay safe. We'll see how much of the remaining precip shield makes it west of 287 and north of 95 for some needed moisture. Otherwise it's just a breezy, damp, raw evening out this way.
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No. It'll just be lucky guesses at this point and someone will be right. Things are kinda verifying on the coast and LI, but just inland, the cutoff remains very sharp. Precip might be filling back in a bit offshore the last few frames. So far it seems even the areas east of 95 are also underperforming as far as the precipitation goes. Wind is more the story.
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Dry slot offshore on the past few radar loops. Let's see if it fills back in. Precip is minimal west of 95. Still just some light rain and mist with a breeze. Rainfall amounts <0.10" the past 24 hours.
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Breezy with patches of blue sky. The rain has no chance of making it west of 95. Am I wrong?
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I don't know if it means much, but I had a band of mist move through about 9:00 am, followed by partly sunny skies.
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There is a lot of crap on X about this storm on X - seems like a lot of wannabes trolling for more followers. NWS was bullish on their X post at 6 pm - they still have my area at 2-2.5" of rain. Not sure about that.
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Wow, I never would have thought single digits had ever been recorded in October in NJ, even in a colder climate of the past. Was that near the end of the month?
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I forgot how cold that morning was area wide.
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Tonight will be chilly. The heat will go on for the first time. Walpack probably makes it well down into the 20s.
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0.56" overnight into this morning, which is far more than expected based on most of these falling apart or missing the area. I did catch the squall line around 5:30 AM with wind and a heavy downpour. Neat to see northeast movement of the overall system, and southeast movement of the squall line on the same radar loops.
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It looks.................decent. Does enough of it hold?
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I'm still skeptical of much in NNJ - the NAM phases things out from west to east, when we know in fact the cutoffs can be quite sharp.
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That's happened a few times.