Yardstickgozinya

Yeah, I don't know. Ryan is pretty universally considered the number one doomcaster. If you ask Ai to name you the top doomcasters, you should get a pretty universal answer. Both Max and Ryan came up in the top five every time. Professional mets seem to agree. What anyways, man, it's really not something I care about that much. But he has changed the way everyone else has to present the weather and it's not for the best.

I didn't even get started on Max.because I don't know where to start. A good place to start is with his youtube reviews, i'm not the only person that finds his b******* ridiculous. Monster bomb slammer jammer killer cyclones.

I don't give those channels the time of day anymore but when I did watch them Andy seemed very professional.,Ryan has completely rewrote the book on weather hype and fear mongering. Intelligent guy for that guess.

Yep, there's a lot of places like that, same with these YouTube Idiots like Ryan hall and Max velocity. They're f****** up everything.

I'll make 80 different accounts until they change their f****** ways. Even if it takes me a year and nine months, just like it did here. That's why they couldn't accept any members.here for nearly a year few years ago. They told everybody it was a server issue.What a lot of people probably don't know Is that was actually just to keep me out because I would a f****** torn this place to pieces until the moderators changed their ways.

Who are these b**** a** m************ people? I'll make a Facebook account just to go over and make their f****** lives miserable. I can't stand s*** like that internet Hype f****** p***** c*** b****** p*****me off more than any m*********** can even f****** understand.

I'm not saying that we're out in the woods. But even since last check, surface cape is waning and backing off the maryland border along with the two small areas of slightly enhanced surface velocity at least for now. We got a long ways to go though and if the sun pops out today, even for just a little bit, that's going to make all the difference. Also keep in mind, I'm only watching the surface for surface based storms. there's a lot more layers to the cake.

Storm chasers talked all week about chasing Dixie longneckers on sunday night. I don't know if a single rotating signature showed up last night let alone a elongated blip six.

Early frontogenesis everything looked as expected, but the northern end of the front started waning much earlier, last night then everything showed. As fronts wayne they slow down so maybe that's the culprit.

It's still early in the day, but meso scale data has been updated and at this juncture we are missing 2 of the most important parameters for tornadoes, surface cape and surface velocity (top graphic) are basically not existing at this point. There is a slight overlap in the chesapeake, but a surface cape of 25 and a surface velocity 2 is most likely not producing a tornado. There's also, some areas of extra overlaps around the Hagerstown area with some other meso scale parameters ,but nothing exceptional with this point. I'll be watching the surface all day as long as i'm not napping. We do have rising downdraft cape (bottom graphic) parameters so anyone who gets under convection or , even heavy rain might be in for a rough time. I'm sure no one needs any reminders, but I'm an idiot not a met., so make sure you're listening to your local met and not an idiot.

Highlight Changed Discussion -- 049 FXUS61 KCTP 160905 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 505 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Wind Advisories extended across northern PA and issued east of US-15 to account for gusty pre-frontal winds this afternoon. * Added details about timing of multiple rounds of showers/storms this afternoon. * Issued Winter Weather Advisory for Laurels & Northwest Mountains tonight for a thump of snow behind the cold front. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Gusty winds continue through this afternoon ahead of a cold frontal passage. 2) Multiple rounds of showers and storms will bring an Enhanced Risk of severe weather this afternoon and evening, with damaging winds and a few tornadoes as the primary threats. 3) Sharply colder temperatures arrive this evening with a thump of heavy snow possible across the west, and the chilly weather hangs around through midweek. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Gusty winds continue through this afternoon ahead of a cold frontal passage. An impressive wind field continues to overspread Pennsylvania this morning and gusty south winds are expected throughout the day. Locations to the north and west of any steep terrain will continue to experience the strongest wind gusts during the day today, with sustained winds of 15 to 25mph and gusts 30 to 45 mph expected. A Wind Advisory remains in effect for the northern tier through early this afternoon, and then a Wind Advisory will go into effect for locations east of US-15 this afternoon through the evening. Note that gusty winds are expected across the entire area today and any showers or storms will tap into a very strong wind field aloft, bringing locally enhanced wind gusts. KEY MESSAGE 2: Multiple rounds of showers and storms will bring an Enhanced Risk of severe weather this afternoon and evening, with damaging winds and a few tornadoes as the primary threats. The Storm Prediction Center has continued with their Enhanced Risk (Level 3 out of 5) today. There appear to be two distinct rounds of rain that will cross the region. The first will be a pre-frontal line of storms that are currently crossing eastern Ohio and will get into our western counties (Warren/Somerset) between 9 and 10AM. As this line moves across the Commonwealth, it will encounter increasing amounts of instability (500-1000J/kg of MLCAPE) and intensify. The line is not currently producing any lightning, but lighting activity should commence by late this morning as it crosses the I-99 corridor. Damaging winds will be the primary threat with this line of storms, but a favorable low level wind profile with ~200 m2/s2 of 0-3km SRH will be sufficient for tornadoes along any portions of the line that develop kinks or discrete elements with embedded supercells. The second round of concern is when the surface cold front crosses the region. Although most of the instability will be absorbed by the first batch of storms, a potent isallobaric pressure fall/rise couplet will provide plenty of lift to produce a narrow cold frontal rainband. With 50+ kt winds just above the surface, it won`t take much to mix down strong to damaging winds. This line of rain and winds likely won`t have any lightning with it, but the wind will pack a punch as cold air pours in behind it. The cold front and associated damaging wind threat will clear our eastern counties by 10 or 11PM. QPF will be 1 to 1.5" for locations east of the I-99/US-15 corridor, and isolated 2" amounts are possible at higher elevations in Schuylkill and Sullivan County. Antecedent dry conditions should preclude any major flooding concerns, but ponding on roadways is a real possibility. If you have outdoor plans on Monday afternoon and evening, be sure to monitor the weather and consider changing your plans. KEY MESSAGE 3: Sharply colder temperatures arrive this evening with a thump of heavy snow possible across the west, and the chilly weather hangs around through midweek. This evening, once the surface cold front pushes through, colder air should rush in. At issue is how much steadier precipitation will linger behind the boundary. Given favorable upper jet placement and the probability that some wrap-around moisture will get steered into the Commonwealth, there is the potential for a quick 1-4" of snow in western portions of the state. HREF probabilities of 1" per hour snowfall rates are impressive and a several hour period of thumping snow are possible in the Laurels and northwest mountains. The latest WPC Winter Storm Outlook, which depicts probabilities of Winter Storm Warning level snowfall amounts, paints 30-50% probabilities from Somerset north to Warren/McKean/Potter County with a few pixels over 50% in McKean County. Although Warning level amounts are unlikely, the combination of favorable lift, heavy snow rates, and onset after sunset lead to confidence in at least Advisory level amounts/impacts. A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 21Z/5PM today through 06Z/2AM Tuesday for the northwest counties. The Advisory will continue through Tuesday afternoon (in collaboration with PBZ and LWX) in Cambria and Somerset County for lingering upslope snow showers. WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Wind Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for PAZ004>006- 010>012-037-041. Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 2 AM EDT Tuesday for PAZ004>006-010>012-017-018. Wind Advisory until 11 AM EDT this morning for PAZ017-018-024- 033. Winter Weather Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 PM EDT Tuesday for PAZ024-033. Wind Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for PAZ042. Wind Advisory from noon today to 11 PM EDT this evening for

At 4:27am there's no shortage of blips going up in the warm sector off to our south and west They'll definitely be coming into our vicinity this morning and beyond if they don't wane. Whether or not they'll help to stabilize or become something that we don't want to see is something i'll let up the professionals on this day. Things pobably needs to play out a little longer and the sun needs to come up before anyone really knows anyway.

I hiked one of tornado trails as a kid with my older sister. I don't exactly remember the year but she will. I believe it was 88 or 89 and the trail was still very obvious. I have pictures of the trails and myself in front of the plaques there. I will eventually scan and post. I initially stated that it was the Albion tornado trail but that is not correct.I do know it was near the town of Albion and was a destination to hike the trails.

Starting to see initiation of a fleet of cells out ahead of the front in Alabama at 2:00AM probably not good situation.

12:30pm SPC update. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html