Yardstickgozinya

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CTP&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off -- Highlight Changed Discussion -- 515 FXUS61 KCTP 190506 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 106 AM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * No sig changes && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Becoming noticeably less humid through the day today with cooler air settling in for tonight. 2) Rain returning by Sunday, heavy at times. 3) Rainy pattern continues into much of next week. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Becoming noticeably less humid through the day today with cooler air settling in for tonight. With the cold front now pushing into the southern tier, high clouds are peeling off to the south. However, moisture remains trapped in the boundary layer resulting in widespread stratus and a few areas of fog. Dewpoints range from the upper 60s to the low 70s in these predawn hours. Showers are expected to remain isolated at best. A north breeze with gusts up to 20 mph will advect a cooler and drier air mass, with temps and dewpts in the 40s for central PA by late tonight. Patchy valley fog is possible early Saturday morning. Most, if not all of Saturday will be dry. ------------------------------------------------------------- KEY MESSAGE 2: Rain returning by Sunday, heavy at times. Periods of potentially heavy rainfall are expected Saturday night into Sunday. Both NAEFS and ECMWF SATs show at least 90th percentile PWs returning to the region, which is supportive of at least a marginal excessive rain signal. A surface low expected to track over the Great Lakes will usher in this moisture and more than enough forcing for widespread precipitation. A few to several hundred J/kg of MUCAPE should support some heavier downpours, but little to no CAPE above the -10C level suggests the lightning threat will be limited. Most likely rainfall amounts with the Sunday system are 0.50-1.50". ------------------------------------------------------------- KEY MESSAGE 3: Rainy pattern continues into much of next week. PoPs are progged to drop into the 30-40 pct range on Monday as high pressure wedges in from the north. However, the jet stream will remain active and amplified with Pacific disturbances moving across the nation. By Tuesday, most guidance has a slow moving trough in the Ohio Valley advecting warm air above a wedge of cool sfc air in place from the aforementioned high pressure system. This setup may linger for a few days, with up to several inches of rainfall possible through the week. The cold air damming will also result in high temps only in the 50s to low 60s. &&

Son of a b**** . waiting this s*** out in the rock point tunnel. Watching for the little 4' hairy, apple chucking bipedal, monkey dude that they celebrate around here. I got something for that little harry f***** if he shows up.

Latest update from the NHC said that thunderstorms have become better organized and may continue to do so over the coming days. They must have decided to raise it back up to 40% chance of development over the next 7 days. It's to keep moving west over the next 24 hours, then possibly turn to the south.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CTP&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Highlight Changed Discussion -- 115 FXUS61 KCTP 170747 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 347 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Level 1 excessive rain risk expanded to all of CPA for today * Cooler temperature moderation next week && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Very humid with locally heavy rainfall possible this afternoon && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Very humid with locally heavy rainfall possible this afternoon Highly anomalous moisture for this time of year (NAEFS mean pwat values near climatological maximum percentiles) pooling around the periphery of subtropical high over the southern Plains and lower MS Valley will interact with a surface cold front moving slowly south/southeastward from the lower Great Lakes to produce periods of showers and a few locally heavy thunderstorms across Pennsylvania later today. 17/00Z HREF indicates the potential for spot rain amounts of 2-3 inches. It`s very likely that most of central PA picks up some rainfall by tonight. However, we do not anticipate an all-day rain/washout. Cloud trends remain a tough call with early morning convection over north central PA, but fcst instability this afternoon across south central PA will be more than supportive for thunderstorm development. SPC continues to maintain a general (non-severe) convective outlook for today which is likely due to the lack of deep layer shear (displaced farther to the north) and poor mid level lapse rates (very moist, tall/skinny soundings with warm cloud depths greater than 10kft). Another taste of Fall is on the way for the end of the week with noticeably cooler and much drier/less humid air poised to return behind the front (Td crashing into the 40s/50s). Expect a crisp and cool overnight Friday into Saturday morning with some upper 30s possible across the northern tier. Dry/fair wx conditions are forecast to start the weekend and last through the day on Saturday followed by periods of potentially heavy rainfall Saturday night through early next week. Both NAEFS and ECMWF SATs show at least 90th percentile PWs returning the the region which is supportive for at least a marginal excessive rain signal. NBM temps have also cooled/moderated quite a bit Mon-Wed with most locations struggling to exceed 70F for daytime highs.

Yes. as of today they have increased the chance of further formation to 40 to 60% In the next seven days, and it's moving W to WNW. We may end up having to keep an eye this puppy.

This short video isn't weather relatedI but found this narration to be absolute gold.

Lol, they are fake palm trees. I'm surprised nobody noticed his artificial turf. The lucky bastard also has a little putt putt, endless whirlpool, batting cages, and trophy wife just out of sight of the image and totally out of sight of my dreams.

I started landscaping a few weeks ago for a new client. I knew I'd heard his name before but I couldn't figure out where. Anyways it turns out he was three year starting linebacker for the Oklahoma Sooners and had a short career in the NFL before injury. Anyways, I thought that was pretty cool, but I don't share my client's names. Lol

Here's something for you to watch. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=7

I felt like you might also be upset with me because of two specific occurrences over the last a few months. and that's okay, I wasn't upset with you at any point, and I feel like that might have been misconstrued. I was just giving my own thoughts and opinions on how I feel about certain things and not necessarily saying that you were wrong in any way. When the fiasco happened with the dweebs telling chesco, not the post in our thread I did notice and appreciate that you were the one to speak up. Thing is, is i'm already familiar with a few of those dudes and they don't listen to kind words. I didn't want to bring the situation back up, but I felt like you might have thought that I was upset with you . Im also fully aware that you wouldn't have liked the way I handled the situation that day so maybe that's the golden ticket. I could just be over thanking the whole d*** thing,but either way, i'm sorry if I did anything to contribute.

I've been over this stuff before. As a society, as a whole, we have to stop giveing people leverage to use performative outrage tactics , and try are best to ignore them, even though I know that it's almost impossible some days. I think the worst thing we can do , is let it get it us get us down and depressed. Me personally, I'd much rather be mad than sad. Whenever Bubble head pulled that s***, some you guys put on one of the silliest performances of performed outrage that i've ever seen. You a******* know exactly who you are and exactly what you're doing. When someone pulls out silly social media learned tactics on me everyone pays and I don't care how unpopular it makes me. My real friends are in the real world. The a******* around here can eat their own f****** donuts because i'm sure as hell not going to.

I actually believe they'er probably having a cascading effect myself. These are some video stills from a walk back from my fishing hole a little over two weeks ago. It's not just a few trees along the enola load grade trail, there's thousands of trees covered in lantern flies, honeydew and soothy mold like this.

Its bacterial and fungal infections that are starting to defoliate some species of trees and plants early.

@Itstrainingtime @Voyager I miss you two handsome whipper snappers .