Yardstickgozinya

If you like tornadoes and uav systems then you're really going to love the otus project. https://youtube.com/@the_otus_project?si=sgTvA6tK1chbhc-A

I'm not sure how many people here have read Genesis from the bible, but there's actually some scripture about fall. Genesis 1:3 And the Lord said, let there be Fall ,and on the first day he realized that it really sucked.. So on the second day he said, let there be football, and the Lord saw that it was good. I hate fall with a passion. I consider it the season of death , depression, shortening days and nasty a** pumpkin flavored food and drinks. If it's not going be blistering hot with high humidity and afternoon thunderstorms, then it needs to be in the single digits with snow on the ground and the next storm already in focus.

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 AM CDT Sat Aug 29 2026 Valid 011200Z - 061200Z ...DISCUSSION... Medium range guidance consensus depicts a persistent ridge fortified across the central CONUS through the Days 4-8 (Tuesday-Saturday) period. Multiple mid-level shortwave troughs and smaller scale impulses will pivot around the broader upper ridge and traverse the Pacific Northwest to northern Plains, Great Lakes, and Northeast through the week. The best chance for rounds of organized strong to severe thunderstorms will be with impulses overspreading a moist boundary layer from the Upper MS Valley to the southern New England/Mid-Atlantic regions. Details regarding the timing and placement of some of these impulses varies among medium-range guidance, rendering predictability too low for several potential severe scenarios. ...Days 4-7 (Tuesday-Friday) - Northeast/Mid-Atlantic... The Northeast to Mid-Atlantic will experience the east-northeast periphery of the aforementioned upper ridge, with multiple impulses expected to overspread the region through the middle of the week. At least isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms are expected each day Tuesday-Friday. At the moment, medium range guidance consensus shows the strongest signal in a mid-level impulse impinging on southern New England and the Mid-Atlantic on Day 5/Wednesday, where severe probabilities have been maintained. Guidance also depicts these same regions to have adequate vertical wind shear and instability Tuesday and Thursday, perhaps even extending into Day 7/Friday. Like Wednesday, several members of medium range ML/AI generated guidance also has severe probabilities over these regions Days 4-7. Unlike Wednesday though, deterministic medium range guidance varies in place and time of the more subtle impulses expected to support severe weather over the Northeast. It is acknowledged that severe probabilities will likely be needed in the future. However, probabilities have been withheld outside of Wednesday out of prudence given the degree of changes in forecast details expected in the coming days.

I thought I'd add this to your post to take us to Wednesday.

Open back up to a nice clear view of the eclipse. Tried to take some pictures, but they suck.

Eclipse is visible for some of us right now, at the moment, just got a pretty good look at it before it got filtered.

I guess it was hale, but I just drove through what I would call a torrential sleet downpour.

Love nocturnal storms. But there's some beautiful structure in these clouds that only the daylight could reveal.

Best nighttime lightning display of the year .

Chilling at Flavor hut

...Northeast... A broad mid-level trough will continue to shift eastward toward the Northeast on Thursday. A weak surface low will move across Quebec with a cold front extending southward into the Northeast and eastern Great Lakes. Moderate instability is forecast ahead of the front with broad ascent supporting storm development both along and ahead of the cold front. Multicell clusters capable of damaging winds, and perhaps isolated large hail, are expected. A more focused region of greater potential may exist from central Pennsylvania into eastern New York. The potential for cloud cover across the region casts some uncertainty and therefore, confidence was not high enough for a Slight Risk at this time

It was in the nws forecast discussion, and SPC had a good chunk of the area highlighted for marginal risk of severe thunderstorms today for the past several days and had all of pennsylvania included in the thunderstorm outlook, other than that, I never heard it mentioned either. I actually had two thunderstorms here today, about two hours apart.

I felt my buddy would have some better pictures from the tornado, damage in both Eastern York and Colombia but unfortunately, there was nothing really groundbreaking there. However, here's the 42lb Flathead my buddy landed with a light action, bass rod and 12lb test after one, hell of a half hour battle in a gnarly exposed diabase hole in Colombia last night.

220115 PNSCTP PAZ065-066-220515- Public Information Statement National Weather Service State College PA 915 PM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026 ...NWS Damage Survey for 08/20/2026 Tornado Event... ..Eastern York County Tornado... Rating: EF2 Estimated Peak Wind: 120 mph Path Length /statute/: 1.07 miles Path Width /maximum/: 100 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 1 Start Date: 08/20/2026 Start Time: 04:24 PM EDT Start Location: 2 SSW Wrightsville / York County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 39.9994 / -76.5521 End Date: 08/20/2026 End Time: 04:26 PM EDT End Location: 2 SSE Wrightsville / York County / PA End Lat/Lon: 39.9975 / -76.5323 Survey Summary: An EF-2 tornado impacted eastern York County during the afternoon of August 20, 2026. Maximum wind speeds were estimated to be 120 mph and the tornado had a maximum path width of 100 yards. Damage was first noted near the end of Vista Lane near Wrightsville where approximately 5 trees were snapped. Sporadic tree damage was noted along the tornado's track as it continued towards Picturesque Drive. The most significant damage occurred at Eastern York High School where the roof was fully ripped off of multiple classrooms. There was also significant damage to the school's auditorium, with the roof partially ripped off and bricks at the top of the wall shifted from their original location. The tornado continued eastward along Winding Way, where multiple homes sustained damage to windows and siding. One injury was reported as a result of a window being blown into a house. The tornado knocked down crops in a field to the east of these houses, before lifting prior to reaching Chateau Circle. We would like to thank York County Emergency Management and local homeowners for their assistance in this damage survey. ..Columbia Tornado... Rating: EF1 Estimated Peak Wind: 100 mph Path Length /statute/: 1.47 miles Path Width /maximum/: 100 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: 08/20/2026 Start Time: 04:30 PM EDT Start Location: Columbia / Lancaster County / PA Start Lat/Lon: 40.0343 / -76.5015 End Date: 08/20/2026 End Time: 04:32 PM EDT End Location: 1 SE Columbia / Lancaster County / PA End Lat/Lon: 40.018 / -76.4838 Survey Summary: On August 20, 2026 at approximately 4:30 p.m. EDT, an EF-1 tornado impacted Columbia, PA. Maximum windspeeds were estimated at 100 mph with a maximum path width of 100 yards. The damage path began on the block where Walnut Street meets 4th Street. Damage was done to an old firehouse where a section of the second story brick wall was knocked down onto Avenue H and a neighboring store. The firehouse roof and another adjacent roof were torn off and lying nearby. The tornado continued southeast through town where a couple small outbuildings were collapsed near Avenue K. Damage continued down Malt Avenue with many tree limbs snapped and minor damage to roofs. The tornado then crossed the Columbia Reading Railway snapping some large trees along Manor Street and Furnace Avenue. It continued into the wooded area south of town and across Blue Lane where many trees were found uprooted and snapped. The tornado then lifted prior to reaching Richland Drive. We would like to thank Lancaster County Emergency Management, the Columbia Borough Police Department, and students from Millersville University for their assistance in this damage survey. && EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0.....65 to 85 mph EF1.....86 to 110 mph EF2.....111 to 135 mph EF3.....136 to 165 mph EF4.....166 to 200 mph EF5.....>200 mph NOTE: The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$ Bauco/Krantz https://partnerservices.nws.noaa.gov/products/cache/234-2026/PNSCTP/71c61493e03f4910725fce6ed54c64b5

Somehow, I miss reading this post before I just did my last round of posting. I thought maybe there were still some doubts. I did notice that the article just mentioned confirmation atEastern York High school. Obviously Colombia will be a confirmation too.