Yardstickgozinya

Nws take on today's severe weather threat. Unfortunately, hail along with a damaging wind threat seems to be the main threat today, for those of us near and in the corridor of slight risk according to the nws Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 502 AM EDT Sat Mar 21 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Dense Fog Advisory for a portion of east-central PA until 8AM Severe thunderstorm risk level increased from 1 to 2 for Sunday over south central PA && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Low visibility in dense fog could make driving hazardous early this morning across portions of east-central PA 2) First weekend of Spring warmup precedes rain and severe thunderstorm risk Sunday afternoon into Sunday night && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Low visibility in dense fog could make driving hazardous early this morning across portions of east-central PA Temporary clearing in the wake of yesterdays rainfall has resulted in patchy to locally dense fog formation across portions of east central PA. Visibility trends have been improving on the margin upon the arrival of lower cloud deck continuing to expand southeastward per IR satellite imagery. Coordinated with PHI on issuance of DFA until 8AM with several ASOS and RWIS sites reporting visby below 1000ft or <1/4 mile. KEY MESSAGE 2: First weekend of Spring warmup precedes rain and severe thunderstorm risk Sunday afternoon into Sunday night A nice start to Spring this weekend with fcst highs ramping 15 to 30F above the historical average by Sunday. This surge of warmth will be brief and followed by a noticeable cooldown on Monday with max temps 20-30 degrees lower than Sunday. SPC expanded the level 2/slight risk outlook from the Upper Ohio Valley into south central PA (south of I-80) for Sunday afternoon and evening. CAPE and 0-6km shear profiles appear rather favorable for organized severe storms ahead of a southeastward advancing cold front. Large hail probs are relatively high with 700-500mb lapse rates 7-7.5 C/km and essentially match the damaging wind probs.

@Jns2183 are you aware of anything I can use to open these files on my cellphone ?

Slight risk extended well into Central Pa. There's no written mention in their outlook about what they expect in our area. Nws did update their discussion at 1:45am, but that discussion still said that the Spc was painting a marginal risk ,1 out of 5 through most of central Pa. However, you can clearly see that Spc expanded the slighg risk into cpa in there 1:01am update, so I decided not to post the latest nws forecast discussion. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

I'm not sure if you two particular fellows we'll see this in time. I shit you not , I was thinking about both of you after I posted . That's a bro flower and I wanted both the you handsome fellas to have it. She's right around the corner.

The point that I was trying to make, in my above post that got lost was, that if we get ample storms, that will give me plenty of opportunities to test the live stream. I've had a lot of trouble with work injuries trying to get back into the swing this year, one more lumbar injury and i'll be streaming myself working 3rd and Walnut for gas and copenhagen.

I hope so, nothing destructive of course. Starting over the next few weeks i'm going to be posting links to live streams whenever I have the opportunity to stream adverse, interesting, beautiful weather and wildlife. By the time winter rolls around I hope to have multiple cameras to set up with lighting, and feed for wildlife doring and after the storms. I'll also have a camera mounted to me for all my winter storm excursions. I realized that viewers from here, maybe quite limited, even non existent, but I just watched someone obtained 230,000 viewers hiccuping into a video camera, for twelve hours straight. It's actually just something I I've wanted to do for fun and have no intentions of gaining any profit sharing from youtube. I probably be running my first test late tonight . The link will just be to a camera looking out into my backyard.

Spc brings back the chance of some thunderstorms on sunday. Right now they have idea of deeper convection in far western pennsylvania. Hopefully plenty of sunshine breaks through Saturday and Sunday.for those of us who need it. SPRINGS BACK BABY !!! https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

He's a mythical creature from south-central. pennsylvania. It only comes out of its hole during snow and thunderstorms, and can often be seen digging in mulch. 5'7" 190 lbs of smelly, harry, man beast. Like other hole dwelling primates, it seeks out psychoactive plants and you generally don't want to see it anywhere near your house. It's generally extremely friendly but can become highly aggressive when agitated. I highly recommend you don't shoot at it if you see it, that smelly basterds packing heat.

Then again, he predicted a snowstorm too

I'm not sure if you're familiar with the legendary., Punxsutawney Bill. He also made the same call.

This might be of particular interest for those of you that have plans tomorrow. As mentioned nothing severe this far East at this point, but some isolated week convection is apparently possible. Nws forecast discussion about tomorrow afternoon and evening thunderstorm risk. 913 PM EDT Thu Mar 19 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... *SPC has introduced a MRGL risk for severe thunderstorms across the Laurel Highlands and SW PA valid Friday afternoon and evening && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) A broken line of thunderstorms across central and western PA is likely late Friday afternoon and into Friday evening, following a widespread light to moderate rain earlier in the day. 2) Cold frontal passage Sunday should make widespread rain showers perhaps ending as a brief period of snow across the north, followed by windy and colder temps on Monday. && .DISCUSSION... 1) A broken line of thunderstorms across central and western PA is likely late Friday afternoon and into Friday evening, following a more widespread light rain earlier in the day. A Clipper system embedded within strong mid and upper level flow will cross through the Great Lakes and into New York State on Friday. Isentropic ascent with PW values rising to near 0.75 inch will likely result in an area of stratiform light to moderate rain moving from NW to SE during the afternoon. As a cold front approaches during the evening hours, a broken line of showers (east) and thunderstorms (west) is expected to form on the back edge of the precip area, perhaps with a dry break between the two areas of rainfall. With 850 hPa flow between 30 and 40 kts and a few hundred Joules of MLCAPE, isolated severe wind gusts can not be ruled out particularly across the Laurels and points southwest. Total QPF is progged between 0.25 and 0.50 inch. High temps will end up about 10F milder than the previous day (49-63F across the CWA fm N to S)

SPC is advertising the slight chance of garden variety, thunderstorms in our area tomorrow, and some limited severe activity from the ohio valley into southwestern pennsylvania. They even had mention of a very slight tornado risk out that way. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html

I didn't get to look at this until I got home from work this evening.Very interesting and well done. Extra interesting for me, because it's within my lifelong stomping grounds.

I'm pretty sure it brings me back to my days that a kid and the early years with my son catching frogs, turtles and tatpoles in the local wetlands.