Winterweatherlover
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Everything posted by Winterweatherlover
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Snowman19 would probably disagree with north of Tappan Zee (Rockland county) being the article circle.
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Agree but easier said than done, I’ve wanted to leave the NYC area most of my life but circumstances made it difficult. I agree though complaining about lack of snow in a place not favorable to get snow is not worth it.
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Agree I’m not really sure why it became negative central because of the Ukie. I guess everyone has different ways of forecasting, personally my opinion hasn’t changed much, it will if euro trends bad. it also depends what peoples expectations are, you’re not getting 2 feet in March in NYC no matter what lol but I think a high end up to about 6-12 inches is still possible.
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Could be a real nice week for the I84 corridor if it doesn’t trend east.
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Nice to see more snow out in the ocean than on the coastal plain (sarcasm).
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It really doesn’t seem like the 2nd best model. Idk the statistics but it seems like a lousy model.
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I’ll wait on 12z Euro. If it trends bad I’ll lose interest.
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Ukie way warmer.
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Makes sense with a further east track. It didn’t shift by too much though.
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He seems to think it’s coming east. We’ll see.
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Cmc a little too far east for what we need but probavly better to have it a little east than a little west at this range.
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Cmc seems stuck on 90 but the key would be does it track north or northeast from there,
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Yes east but stronger, still inside the BM zone at 90.
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It had a low over eastern LI and 2 feet of snow in the HV. How is that not a clear west trend?
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This really does have a bit of 2010 snowicane look with a low tracking almost due north or possibly even slightly NW. We could snow while Boston rains.
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Big time trend in right direction on gfs, still playing catch-up it seems.
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It’s the gfs with no support, toss imo but hope to be surprised.
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I will say seeing how far east some of these models are is making me think an inland runner is not too likely.
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I’m exhausted lol unless I see sub 990 lows in Forkys zone I know not to be interested. Unfortunately or fortunately the Euro and Ukie are showing that so that’s keeping me tracking this.
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To me that’s not a perfect track, too far east.
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Everything has to basically go perfect for this to work. Euro/Ukie are showing that but even minor changes will ruin it so confidence is low but also I’m not writing it off.
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Yea as myself and others have stated norluns almost never work out here.
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Probably but part of the problem is primary is pumping in warm air and secondary is way too Far East to help us. A colder air mass would have helped a lot though but setup is less than ideal.
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I’m losing hope too possibly jaded by the bad trends of todays storm but it just seems like it’s not the right winter for the coast to see snow. The RGEM looks terrible. Hopefully at least the interior parts of the subforum can get something worthwhile.
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Latest RGEM basically all rain everyone SE of I287. What a tease this was.
