MDScienceTeacher
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Everything posted by MDScienceTeacher
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Does anyone know how to create the animated png? That is what I really wanted to post.. I didnt have the patience to figure it out.
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6z
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Last three Euros (not including 6 z)
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6-7 is a fail given what the models have been showing… let’s just leave it at 10
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Really ?? I thought the ensembles have the same number of grid points as the op? And each member just gets initialized with slightly screwed data to find out how reliable the run is?
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I know we have said this many times in the past but we could easily see a slight Trend northward as we move closer to the event. Especially with a more amped storm. I am loving where we sit right now.
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Come on man. It can easily snow a foot here. This winter has proven that winters are far from over for our region!
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Have we made it past the dreaded Pacific Dropsonde data injection point yet? I dont know if you guys remember but the last storm was a 10-15 inch deal before @stormtracker jinxed it with the storm thread and Dropsonde data. At any rate, she looks healthy to me:
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The fact that one is showing up is telling imho. That’s a signature of every big storm in the mid range. You start seeing this high total bullseyes right at the pivot point for the storm. I am just glad we are seeing one. btw did you see the surface temps are at around 20 for these ccb panels.
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Yeah it looks like all systems go but I just want to give @Jisomething to think about.
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I have been lurking since Boxing Day.. and I know that there is something to it.. like whenever it finally snows is inevitably when someone is leaving town. Anyway I don’t leave til night time. As long as I get to watch it fall I am good! And if I get a delay because of a foot or more of snow so be it!! It’s a win win for me.
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@Ji the one time ever in history that the gfs pulls off a coup would be now right?
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Yeah I have a flight leaving for Puerto Rico… been planned for months now
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Can't wait!
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Our last two storms had a period in the mid - long range that featured all of the major models showing MECS like totals in the Baltimore-Washington Corridor only to correct south once we got below 96 hours. Until I see different, I am going to be stay cautiously optimistic but be open to the fact that the Euro could do the old rug pull at any time..
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Fixed it for you .. lol JK.. It definitely is a good sign though that we were able to get Wall to Wall cold this winter
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Yup! My favorite ensemble plot is the individual members.. this type of agreement 180 hours out is a pretty big deal
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So I am way up in northern hoco md and it has been steady light snow all day and we managed to break 3.. there wasn’t so much of a cutoff around here it was more gradual. Where are you located?
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Hmmm.. I am in Elliott city and I am 3.5 already. I am really surprised you have gotten to 3 yet. Is it temp issues? Looks like plenty of returns down there
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Thats what I thought but usual there is at least some logic in his pessimism.. that post made no sense.. unless he was comparing the last euro to the GFS MECS runs from last week..
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hold on.. it is identical to the 00z:
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I havent been paying that close attention.. what did it say 7-12 before and now it says 5-10?
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this happens every time when we are waiting for it to start to snow. For some reason people start to panic and think that it is over before it starts
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A snow day is a snow day. It is sacred in my opinion and shall not be infringed upon. Even if the technology is available for virtual alternatives.
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February 11-12; 12-13: Are they real??
MDScienceTeacher replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thank you! I was getting annoyed with the all the over cautiousness/ conservatism wrt to the total potential for this storm. Everyone seems to be stuck on 3-6/ 2-4 amounts. I think that It won’t take much to push this over 8 inches. So why not go all in?
