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MDScienceTeacher

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  1. MDScienceTeacher
    Not a member above the mason dixon. It is less than 5 days and it hasn’t shown a run without any snow in the ma in like 10 runs. I have never in my life seen the euro trend toward the gfs when we need it to. Maybe just maybe this will be the miracle and the euro caves here in about 30 minutes
  2. MDScienceTeacher
    And we have this going for us.
  3. MDScienceTeacher
    If you go back to 12z yesterday it is a huge shift in the right direction so I am happy with this. What we can’t have is the 2 meeting in the middle.. so we basically have 0 wiggle room and are relying on the euro to continue its shift. Fun times for sure.
  4. MDScienceTeacher
    I would not worry about it too much. We have seen thunder snow with these types of setups in the past.. as long as we get the rates I am pretty sure the cold air aloft will mix down
  5. MDScienceTeacher
    Um guys.. not sure if anyone is getting this faster.. but the GFS looks like it might go off again.. could be wrong. but that 1039 HP isnt really budging.
  6. MDScienceTeacher
    If memory serves, the first PSU storm was Dec 26 2011.
  7. MDScienceTeacher
    lol
  8. MDScienceTeacher
    If the storm track and strength remains the same as what was shown on the 18z I will take my chances with the thermals. There is a lot of potential with this one.. I would not be surprised if we were looking at a warning level event heading in the to weekend.
  9. MDScienceTeacher
    Me too. The last time we saw a progression like this I think it was Commutamageddon (Jan 2011). Ground temp were really warm leading up to the event too, but the developing upper level low pulled in so much cold air that the streets caved in about 10 minutes after start time. There is a lot of cold air aloft to work with.. I am hoping this one trends in the right direction.
  10. MDScienceTeacher
    I think that was storm #1. A lot of people forget that every county in the state of md (except Worcester) was under a blizzard warning for the second storm… I don’t know if that will ever happen again
  11. MDScienceTeacher
    Pulitzer Prize worthy
  12. MDScienceTeacher
    It is alive and well on the euro (albeit too warm)
  13. MDScienceTeacher
    It is pretty interesting to look at the progression of the Individual members on the GEFS.. look at the confidence on the 50-50 at 318 hours..
  14. MDScienceTeacher
    In am not criticizing. It was worth a posting and I am excited about the potential. I am just pointing out that we are in our climatological high point of our snowstorm chances and the only thing we get on the operational models is a 480 hour mega hecs
  15. MDScienceTeacher
    My nephew just called me and said.. you gotta see the extended euro. I said it’s a fake storm.. then he said.. “if stormchaserchuck is excited then I am excited”
  16. MDScienceTeacher
    I can’t believe we are looking at 480 hr snow maps. This has to be a new low.
  17. MDScienceTeacher
    Can you explain the difference with this?
  18. MDScienceTeacher
    I would venture to say that any run of the GEFS from December to February on a 15 day lead time would show at least one good snow storm for our region Unless the majority of the members are saying the same thing, 15 days is too far out to take seriously.
  19. MDScienceTeacher
    I see.. so probably have to wait. this time of year is rough.. when you are getting closer and closer to the end of our window and nothing is on the horizon... its hard to watch.
  20. MDScienceTeacher
    Right.. I agree with all of this. So at what point does that Closed Upper level low track just far north enough to paste us with heavy snow?
  21. MDScienceTeacher
    Do you know why it is that every time we need a storm system to not trend north in the 120-180 time frame, it inevitably does. But if we do need it to trend north, it inevitably doesn't?
  22. MDScienceTeacher
    Why didnt you show the 18z? It was out when you posted this.
  23. MDScienceTeacher
    Congrats everyone!
  24. MDScienceTeacher
    I hope you all enjoy! I am in Waikiki right now and I have to admit I am a little jealous. I knew it was gonna snow the minute I left md.
  25. MDScienceTeacher
    Smith-schuster?
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