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MDScienceTeacher

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  1. MDScienceTeacher
    Our last two storms had a period in the mid - long range that featured all of the major models showing MECS like totals in the Baltimore-Washington Corridor only to correct south once we got below 96 hours. Until I see different, I am going to be stay cautiously optimistic but be open to the fact that the Euro could do the old rug pull at any time..
  2. MDScienceTeacher
    Fixed it for you .. lol JK.. It definitely is a good sign though that we were able to get Wall to Wall cold this winter
  3. MDScienceTeacher
    Yup! My favorite ensemble plot is the individual members.. this type of agreement 180 hours out is a pretty big deal
  4. MDScienceTeacher
    So I am way up in northern hoco md and it has been steady light snow all day and we managed to break 3.. there wasn’t so much of a cutoff around here it was more gradual. Where are you located?
  5. MDScienceTeacher
    Hmmm.. I am in Elliott city and I am 3.5 already. I am really surprised you have gotten to 3 yet. Is it temp issues? Looks like plenty of returns down there
  6. MDScienceTeacher
    Thats what I thought but usual there is at least some logic in his pessimism.. that post made no sense.. unless he was comparing the last euro to the GFS MECS runs from last week..
  7. MDScienceTeacher
    hold on.. it is identical to the 00z:
  8. MDScienceTeacher
    I havent been paying that close attention.. what did it say 7-12 before and now it says 5-10?
  9. MDScienceTeacher
    this happens every time when we are waiting for it to start to snow. For some reason people start to panic and think that it is over before it starts
  10. MDScienceTeacher
    A snow day is a snow day. It is sacred in my opinion and shall not be infringed upon. Even if the technology is available for virtual alternatives.
  11. MDScienceTeacher
    Thank you! I was getting annoyed with the all the over cautiousness/ conservatism wrt to the total potential for this storm. Everyone seems to be stuck on 3-6/ 2-4 amounts. I think that It won’t take much to push this over 8 inches. So why not go all in?
  12. MDScienceTeacher
    This takes melting/ surface temperatures/ rates etc into consideration. A lot of people say that it is more useful than the regular total snowfall. I am convinced that Tt counts cold rain as snow for in total snowfall maps.. so positive snow depth is probably more reliable.
  13. MDScienceTeacher
    That would do it
  14. MDScienceTeacher
    I was never buying it and if it did show .75 inches qpf over 24 hours I would think that a lot of that is lost to melting especially during the day time. I would much rather see .4 inches in a 6 hour period than .75 over 24 hours.
  15. MDScienceTeacher
    Where do I sign?
  16. MDScienceTeacher
    I don’t think Baltimore city did as well… maybe 4-5 inches max
  17. MDScienceTeacher
    Yeah there was a band that set up over bwi and extended back in to Catonsville/ Elliott city . I got 7.5 (5 for the first part and 2.5 for the second part) which was more than I expected.
  18. MDScienceTeacher
    That’s one of the things that normies don’t understand. Most people I know are convinced that it just doesn’t snow around here any more.. I even saw a snowblower out there other day with a “free” sign on it. When I tell them that it has snowed plenty areas just to our south they look at me with confusion because in their mind snow is a thing of the past and entertaining the possibility that a lot of snow storms may have missed to our south is preposterous.
  19. MDScienceTeacher
    Oh.. I didnt realize that its him... I thought he moved away or something.
  20. MDScienceTeacher
    the issue is that big 1043 HP settling down out out of Canada. It is such a double edge sword. we need the cold air, but just enough not to suppress the wave.
  21. MDScienceTeacher
    Not sure if this will happen this time, but I remember set ups like this ending up wetter/ picking up more gulf moisture.
  22. MDScienceTeacher
    If this holds and it verifies just a little wetter/ more amped (and the surface temps stay cold enough for accumulation), it will be a warning level event for DC.
  23. MDScienceTeacher
    I thought the 6Z gave DC like 5 inches?
  24. MDScienceTeacher
    Are those dropsondes routine or do they only drop them during times of particularly active weather?
  25. MDScienceTeacher
    Holy Fuck
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