RU848789

Since I live at the edge of the Mt. Holly CWA, here's my final post on the storm... We got 2.4" of new snow this evening for a total of 4.1" today and 5.8" over two days, which I'm ecstatic about. Another very pretty snow as it wasn't windy and the snow was wet enough to stick to the trees. Going to finish watching the football game and then go shovel.

Calling it over at 8:45 pm, as the snow became light around 8:20 pm and looks like it'll be just flurries from here on with precip ending shortly, unless there's a surprise. Anyway, we got 2.4" of new snow for a total of 4.1" today and 5.8" over two days, which I'm ecstatic about. Another very pretty snow as it wasn't windy and the snow was wet enough to stick to the trees. Going to finish watching the football game and then go shovel.

7.9" just today?

As of 8:00 pm, still snowing pretty good with 2.2" new snow otg for a total of 3.9" today. Snow looks like it'll end soon, but I think we'll eke out at least another 0.1-0.2" to get to 4". Still 31F.

As of 7:00 pm snowing moderately to almost heavily, up to 1.5" in round 2 (0.5" last hour) and 3.2" overall (my house forecast 36 hours ago was 3.1") and looking at the radar, I think 4" is within reach. Still 31F.

Snow picked back up again finally around 4 pm and we got 1/4" by 5 pm and now at 6 pm it's snowing heavily (see tweet below) with 1.0" new snow on the ground in round 2, bringing today's total to 2.7". Should easily get to 3.5-4" I think. 31F - and make sure you shovel tonight, because everything will freeze solid if you don't overnight with wet snow and lows around 20F (and Thursday may be the only day above 32F this week and even next week). https://x.com/iembot_phi/status/2013016419634380819/photo/1

Just started snowing moderately, so I looked at the radar and saw this! Nice surprise decent band over us. Main 2nd round still arrives after 2-3 pm, but snow like this will at least reduce compaction/melting loss.

As of 10 am the snow has lightened up considerably and we have 1.7" of new snow (1/2" the last hour); likely just on and off light snow for the next 3-4 hours. It's 32F.

As of 9 am, 1.2" new snow at 32F. Looks like another 30-40 minutes of snow to go for this first round as per the radar. Not sure how long the lull will last, but if the HRRR model is to be believed, we won't get much snow from about 10 am to 2 pm, after which snow should pick up again through early evening.

Huge gorgeous dendrites falling now and we got 0.3" the last 1/2 hour with 1.0" new snow otg, as of 8:30 am. Down to 31F. Had some great fun trying to throw snowballs (great packing snow) into my disc golf basket in the backyard - don't quite get that sweet sound you get when you hit the chains with a disc.

As of 8:00 am, we have 0.7" new snow (0.4" the past hour) at 32F and snowing moderately.

Just went for a walk and of 7:00 am we have 0.3" otg at 32F and snowing lightly to moderately. Everything is covered including the roads in our neighborhood. Hoping to overperform vs. my 3.1" forecast for my house yesterday morning. Pretty out there...

The NBM finally caught up to the models, lol. This looks just like the NWS map (not a coincidence). I'll take it.

NWS - Philly finally put out their map. Nice, especially for me, lol.

As of about 2 pm, when the snow was nearly done here, I measured 2.2", which was a huge surprise - beautiful fluffy dendrites fell heavily from about 1:15 to 1:45 pm; we're up to 13.4" on the season. After measuring, I "broomed" mostly as the snow was easy to push and then went shopping (party tonight at our house - y'all are invited, lol - we had to postpone our NYE party until tonight as my wife had COVID, but is fine now). Temp is up to 34F now and some melting is going on, but the side streets are all snow covered still. Can't wait for tomorrow...

Up to 1.75" - huge overperformer and still snowing moderately at 32F; guessing we'll hit at least 2.5" judging by the radar. Also, every 12Z model is now snowy, so expecting a general 2-4" for the region with an upside of 3-6" possible (lowest amounts well NW of 95 and far SENJ). Expect advisories to go up shortly. No updated NWS maps yet. Lee Goldberg and the NYC mets can suck it, lol.

Wow, deathband 2026! We're up to 1" which has all fallen in the last 40 minutes - legitimate heavy snow and dynamic cooling FTW as it dropped from 33F to 32F.

Holy crap - big gorgeous dendrites coming down now - 3/8" in the last 20 minutes. Anyone want to practice disc golf putting?

Just woke up from a nap and it's 33/25F and snowing now - right on the southern edge of the precip, which wasn't really supposed to be here yet according to the models/HRRR. And just saw the 12Z NAM - wow!

FWIW, here is what the 6Z models are showing for Edison for Saturday (Kuchera, since it'll be 34-36F for most of the snow) and Sunday (10:1 ratio as it should be colder with temps in the 31-33F range). I did Edison, since I live there and it's a point on the Pivotal maps, plus they do reasonably represent what might be expected from about NB to NYC along 95 with a bit less towards Philly. The Saturday numbers are nada SE of 95 to the coast, while they're 1-2" greater for most models at the coast (north of Toms River; south of there, mixing becomes an issue). Let's see what 12Z brings. Snowfall on Sat (Kuchera)/Sun (10:1 ratio) Euro: 0.4"/1.9" AIFS (Euro AI): 0.5"/2.8" AIGFS: 0.5"/3.0" GFS: 1.3" (is 1.7" at 10:1)/3.6" NAM: 0.7"/4.1" RGEM: 0.8"/2.6" NAM3km: 0.3"/3.2" RRFSA (new NAM): 0.1"/5.0" (but Kuchera shows 3.1" here - much larger deviation than for most models) HRDPS: 0.6"/2.4" UK: 1.0"/1.2" ICON: 1.0"/0.6"

Here's my take, fwiw. Looks like 2-4" N of 78/NW of 287 today (as per the WWA's) with maybe a slushy inch along 95 and nada SE of 95 due to warm temps. And with the significant moves NW for the GFS, NAM, NAM3km, RRFS, and finally the Euro, joining the already NW AIFS and AIGFS (and ignoring the paltry precip for the UK/ICON), it's looking like 2-4" from 95 to the coast with maybe 1-2" NW of 95 with an upside of 3-6" from 95 to the coast and a downside of 1-3" from 95 to the coast. Would like to see 12Z not backtrack to have higher confidence in the Sunday numbers. Now I'm getting excited.

And the Euro finally caves on Sunday's event...looks like some snow on Sunday with this and almost all of the other models on board for at least 1-3/2-4" from the coast through even a bit NW of 95.

Just wait 6 hours, lol - and for the inclusion of the flight data...big move NW for the NAM - this is all round 2 through the end...

Updated NWS-Philly map for both storms: 1-2" just a few miles NW of 95 and 2-4"N of 78 and W of the Parkway, roughly on Sat. Guessing 1-2" worth of snow along 95, but most of that will melt - maybe a slushy inch on colder surfaces unless we get HRRR style rates. And 1-2" for the coast to 95 on Sunday, for now - if the Euro makes another move NW, they'll up those forecasts for Sunday, IMO. Looks like a fun 2 days ahead...

That's a 100+ mile QPF field shift in 24 hours by the Euro, looking at the 0.1" line for Sunday's event and it's a ~200 mile shift in the 0.5" QPF line (maybe as much of being more amped as a "move" but that's the result). Getting close to the AI models and the snowier globals.