RU848789

Measuring bust you mean. LGA was 3.6" and I saw social media reports of 3+" in Manhattan. I get JFK being a bit low (2.2") right on the water, but CPK/LGA are at the same latitude and while the UHI is real, I just find it hard to believe it's that much stronger in CPK than LGA.

As of 9:45 pm we had 3.5" OTG as intensity lessened more quickly than expected. I then shoveled, which wasn't too bad since I had shoveled the slushy bottom layer earlier and near the end of shoveling we got a bonus extended snow shower, picking up another 0.1" for a final total of 3.6". A trained spotter in Metuchen reported the same 3.5" as me at 9:38 pm and I saw a report of 3.5" in SI a few miles away. A little disappointing vs. the 4-6" NWS forecast early this morning (and my 5.1" prediction yesterday), but still a fun storm and everything looks great. Season total is up to 10.4", which is close to normal for this point in the winter.

As of 9:45 pm we had 3.5" OTG as intensity lessened more quickly than expected. I then shoveled, which wasn't too bad since I had shoveled the slushy bottom layer earlier and near the end of shoveling we got a bonus extended snow shower, picking up another 0.1" for a final total of 3.6". A trained spotter in Metuchen reported the same 3.5" as me at 9:38 pm and I saw a report of 3.5" in SI a few miles away. A little disappointing vs. the 4-6" NWS forecast early this morning (and my 5.1" prediction yesterday), but still a fun storm and everything looks great. Season total is up to 10.4", which is close to normal for this point in the winter.

lol, I didn't see the post above this one from you, so I was wondering what you meant. You should still measure though, as the bands have been inconsistent...

As of 8:45 pm we have 3.3" OTG at 28F, as temps are starting to drop more quickly. That's about 0.6" the last hour, as intensity wasn't as consistently high. Guessing we have another 20 min of moderate/heavy snow, then maybe another 30 min of light/moderate snow after that, so thinking we'll get to 3.7-3.8". Still a cool storm and we're going to have this snow around for a couple of weeks, which is nice (for me).

As of 8:45 pm we have 3.3" OTG at 28F, as temps are starting to drop more quickly. That's about 0.6" the last hour, as intensity wasn't as consistently high. Guessing we have another 20 min of moderate/heavy snow, then maybe another 30 min of light/moderate snow after that, so thinking we'll get to 3.7-3.8". Still a cool storm and we're going to have this snow around for a couple of weeks, which is nice (for me).

As of 7:45 pm, we have 2.75" OTG at 30F, for 1"/hr the past hour and it's still heavy snow and is definitely higher ratio snow than earlier, as it's drier and has better formed dendrites, so I think we're going to get to 3.5-4.0" assuming we get another hour or so of decent snowfall. Just wish we didn't miss so much earlier today and for about 20 minutes about 90 minutes ago when we were in a bit of a snow hole with light to moderate snow when everyone around us had heavy echoes. It happens.

As of 7:45 pm, we have 2.75" OTG at 30F, for 1"/hr the past hour and it's still heavy snow and is definitely higher ratio snow than earlier, as it's drier and has better formed dendrites, so I think we're going to get to 3.5-4.0" assuming we get another hour or so of decent snowfall. Just wish we didn't miss so much earlier today and for about 20 minutes about 90 minutes ago when we were in a bit of a snow hole with light to moderate snow when everyone around us had heavy echoes. It happens.

My issue with them earlier wasn't about the forecast, itself, but about the poor communication of that forecast to the public at their 4 pm shift change, where they put out confusing graphics (the snow from 7 pm onward when it was 4 pm and no event snowfall update) and text products showing a WWA saying 1-3" additional snow at 3:30 pm for Middlesex County when nobody in the county had more than 1/2", leading one to believe we'd only get 1-3" total, when the AFD was still saying 3-6" for the 95 corridor as was my point-and-click forecast, which was 4" at that point. At the end of the day I probably have 2" now and will likely get another 2" vs. the advisory this morning saying 3-5" (and my point and click and their 4 am snow map saying I'd get about 5.3"). I have no issue with getting 4" if that's what we get or even just 3+" - but they need to improve their graphics/text communications.

As of 6:45 pm we had 1.75" on the ground at 30F, so another 3/4" in the last hour and right now it's just puking heavy snow (likely >1"/hr rates). Just went out for a drive to White Rose because I love driving in the snow and, duh, we love us some White Rose on a snowy day. All secondary roads are snow covered and icy, while Route 1 was mostly wet, but snow was starting to accumulate on it.

As of 6:45 pm we had 1.75" on the ground at 30F, so another 3/4" in the last hour and right now it's just puking heavy snow (likely >1"/hr rates). Just went out for a drive to White Rose because I love driving in the snow and, duh, we love us some White Rose on a snowy day. All secondary roads are snow covered and icy, while Route 1 was mostly wet, but snow was starting to accumulate on it.

We have been very lucky the past year or two relative to NYC and others in CNJ, so I guess we were due to miss some good bands sooner or later.

Been snowing moderately to heavily for the last hour and as of 5:45 pm we're up to 1" at 31F, so 3/4" in the last hour (had about 1/4" all day sadly). Radar looks great and if we can keep up good intensity through maybe 9 pm we might just get to 4". Big dendrites - very pretty out there. Just got done shoveling and I would imagine my experience is similar to anyone near or SE of 95 - we had slush underneath, then snow on top and it was a bit of work to get the bottom layer up - but it'll be impossible by late tonight, I think. So shovel.

Been snowing moderately to heavily for the last hour and as of 5:45 pm we're up to 1" at 31F, so 3/4" in the last hour (had about 1/4" all day sadly). Radar looks great and if we can keep up good intensity through maybe 9 pm we might just get to 4". Big dendrites - very pretty out there. Just got done shoveling and I would imagine my experience is similar to anyone near or SE of 95 - we had slush underneath, then snow on top and it was a bit of work to get the bottom layer up - but it'll be impossible by late tonight, I think. So shovel.

NWS-Philly updated their discussion and map; snowfall on the map for the event is down maybe 1" for each swath along and SE of 95. At least it's finally snowing moderately to heavily and starting to accumulate, but I have my doubts about getting even to 4" at this point. I need to get outside and stop worrying about all this crap, lol.

Mike - sorry if I've been a little testy, but it's frustrating to not know what you guys are thinking and that 7 pm onward map on the winter weather page without having any updated event snowfall graphic there is very confusing to many, I'm sure. Maybe they could add the event total graphic to that page. Thanks for taking the time to respond.

Thanks, Mike, but you guys have to fix this ASAP as the winter weather page shouldn't show that map and the advisory for Middlesex now says 1-3" of "additional" snow when we haven't gotten any yet. 1-3" of additional snow certainly doesn't get us to an event total of 4-6" in the graphic above or the original 3-5" WWA wording. It's all very confusing and I still don't know what the forecast is.

And if this is real, that would be a major bust since we've only had a dusting so far... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 331 PM EST Sun Jan 19 2025 Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Ocean-Southeastern Burlington- Including the cities of Freehold, Wharton State Forest, Sandy Hook, New Brunswick, and Jackson 331 PM EST Sun Jan 19 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Snow. Additional snow accumulations between 1 and 3 inches. Something weird going on as my point and click still says 2-4" during the daytime and 1-3" at night (after 6 pm). This AfternoonSnow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 38. North wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Total daytime snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible. TonightSnow, mainly before 11pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 16. Northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

WTF is Mt. Holly doing? Who would issue a map starting 3 hours for now at 7 pm?

As of 2:30 pm, we have a dusting on colder surfaces (a bit on some paved surfaces), as we missed most of that last band to the west of us. Snowing lightly and down to 34F.

As of 2:30 pm, we have a dusting on colder surfaces (a bit on some paved surfaces), as we missed most of that last band the west of us - looks like it hit P'way nicely. Snowing lightly and down to 34F.

And presumably that moves ENE towards much of NJ and NYC...

First few flakes just started at 12:15 pm; temp is 37F with a dewpoint of 33F, so will obviously take at least an hour or two to get cold enough to accumulate here, as we don't expect the heavier snow until at least 2-3 pm.

First few flakes just started at 12:15 pm; temp is 37F with a dewpoint of 33F, so will obviously take at least an hour or two to get cold enough to accumulate here, as we don't expect the heavier snow until at least 2-3 pm.

Some 6Z models backed off on precip/snow, but not the Euro/GFS, at least, and many forecasters rely on those two...also could just be a blip, so would imagine no forecast changes at this late point unless some big changes at 12Z...