vortmax

4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Good Wayne county spotters are important with the lack of radar coverage for lake effect events. Glad to have you two.  West of me is a huge hole. I don’t think we have or have ever had one Orleans member. 

I've always wondered how well Orleans does. Radar seems lit up there alot during lake effect. 

At least we have an 88% chance of getting the grass covered. 

29 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Miracles do happen!

5 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Frictional effects causing some lift I believe...sort of like a pileup, airmass gets backed up slightly and lifted and wrings out precip as it moves from lake to over land... At least that's my crude understanding. 

Ah yes, frictional convergence based on the coastline shape and then orographic lifting. We've been getting squat in western Wayne cty...bummed. Can't even get the grass fully covered! My kids are NOT happy...lol

These bands seem to be heavier away from the lakes. Is this just an orographic thing?

GB connection firing up. Here's to hoping...

Setting up just east of me over Sodus. Sunny here. Ugh! 

This is the only radar that seems to capture the 'gap' from eastern Monroe cty. to eastern Wayne cty.

https://www.localsyr.com/live-radar/

Dave, is WHEC's doppler out of commission now? 

34 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Now we enter the event phase where the snow slackens, the sun peeks out, the radar looks confounding, and we stare at the NWS snowfall maps and despair.

Exactly! LOL! 

Only a dusting here from the south push. 

48 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

I feel bad (only teeny tiny bit) high-jacking the "Lake Effect Snow" thread, but felt our shot of Lake Effect Flurries wasn't really worth a whole separate thread...so, here we are...looking for snowflakes...yelling at the skies...

Yes, let's do this...sick of seeing the green grass all season so far...

We have Lake Erie flurries here. About 1"/yr rate I'd say. 

3"/hr accumulates fast. Don't you guys lose hope

51 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

We have many of those things you've mentioned along the lake erie shoreline. They used to hold ice hockey tournaments and winterfests on Lake Erie when the lake used to freeze (which used to be every year)...

We also have this massive ice rink downtown that makes the wintertime and christmas extremely festive

That looks fun. Really bummed, seems Christmas season went by extra quickly this year. Can we extend by a month or so?

1 hour ago, rochesterdave said:

I do wonder if sometimes having too much ‘computing power’ just confuses them. Definitely seems it has lost its luster from the days it would nail something a week out. 
I remember it called the Storm of the Century nearly 7 days out (might of been more). Could be I’m just glamorizing the memory of it. 

The 1993 triple-phase was showing on models at least 5 days out, maybe more. I distinctly remember being in the Met labs with my classmates drooling over those maps.

Interesting read for GFS upgrades recently: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Forecast_System

5 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Ahhh yes he went to SUNY Oswego…did you also study Meteorology there?

Yes.

4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

So did i

4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said:

Did you go to NTHS

I meant college. I went to HS at RL Thomas in Webster.

4 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Do we actually believe that local tv stations have in-house models?  There is no way some broadcast meteorologist is writing code and inputting data that is going to be better than NCEP. It takes millions of dollars and thousands of man hours to build a weather model.  When they say they use in-house models it means they put their stations name on a off run of the hi res NAM.   

Too bad they couldn't incorporate some AI into the developing process...

19 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Cejka, santos and mentkowski are the only half way decent ones.

I went to school with Mentkowski. I think we were the biggest Met class to graduate from OSU at the time. 12 of us nerds. Fun times. 

Lots of NYC peeps getting the shaft with that sharp cutoff. 

17 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Omgggg I have more hours played in that game then every game combined. I still play it some weekends. There are a few full servers. I’ve met a few irl friends that played from wny in that game. I mainly played assault but transitioned to tam over time. Do you know reflex, gimix, perfection/aud1e, xios, Mercury, tierce? What game mode did you play? 

Mostly DM and some CTF. I honestly can't remember the names, but used to play a ton and have a blast. 

1 hour ago, Syrmax said:

Josh Allen...apparently not a cold weather QB. Better pull his head out in 2nd Half...

They passed way too much. The run was working, but Allen made penance by his rushing TDs. 

Let's go Buffalo! Nice win. 

Hey guys, this is a weather forum, not OT. Our new 'mod' may swing the ban hammer.

Is the LE done now? 

Morning. Buf looks pretty bullish on the snow map. This starts 7am.

Looks like we have 2" or so. First time the grass is covered.

1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

no gamers here =(

They canceled Hamilton for the rest of the event in Buffalo, was just about to leave the house.

I used to be nationally ranked in UT2004.