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TheGhostOfJohnBolaris

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Everything posted by TheGhostOfJohnBolaris

  1. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    12z GFS a touch more south and a touch slower than 6z through 48 Edit: A little stall from hours 48-54 causes it to go north sooner
  2. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    6z GFS showing it maintaining mid-980s across the state and emerging just south of Tampa at 984
  3. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Question for those of you who have been around the block longer than I have. Say the GFS solution or close to it actualized. As someone who lives in Tampa, would I expect a hurricane warning or just TS? I operate a hotel right on the bay that has to evacuate for any hurricane warnings. Ordering product when these threats are around is always a challenge.
  4. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Pretty strong consistency run to run for GFS
  5. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Euro seems to like it, albeit much less, around that same time
  6. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    18z GFS seems like a much more reasonable run
  7. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    18z picked up the crack pipe
  8. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Sure enough here’s the 12z GFS
  9. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    GFS seems to be putting Florida in play
  10. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    That's nearly a pattern flip. Notice the WAR appear out if nowhere versus previous runs. New Foundland low gone. May be a flook or something to watch for upcoming runs. Interesting..
  11. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Huge shift west this last one after an east trend
  12. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    I strongly disagree with the notion it would’ve changed a damn thing. People who didn’t evacuate weren’t going to have their minds changed.
  13. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Didn’t Ian initially show the same thing? Slamming into the Yucatán?
  14. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Euro still not developing anything on the 12z
  15. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    GFS with a monster just south of the Yucatan at 312
  16. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Makes sense, the radar presentation is rapidly improving
  17. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Some people want to live by the ocean in this blink of an eye we call life. I don’t really see a reason to be judgmental here.
  18. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    I’m in Clearwater (Safety Harbor) and we’ve barely seen any impacts all day. Very fortunate.
  19. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    We seem to be trending towards a more northern path
  20. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Wouldn’t be surprised to see it tick back north a bit. Still a wide range of outcomes here.
  21. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    I believe that the models over corrected east a bit with the movement this morning. Ultimately still see it somewhere between Tampa and Fort Myers.
  22. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    I don’t know if I buy the landfall south of Tampa. Doesn’t feel like there’s enough to steer it to make that happen.
  23. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Pinellas sheriff said earlier that it’s happening for Zones A-C tomorrow
  24. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Can confirm Zone A has evacuated
  25. TheGhostOfJohnBolaris
    Just as the models shift west
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