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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. Ugh Jan 05, another painful memory. Speaking of painful memories, I was looking back at Mar 01 charts and I still dont understand the “weaker” amounts south of pike. 500mb and 700mb both look like it should of put 2-3’ down from nyc northeast. What am I missing?
  2. I think bermuda ridges can to be under modeled too. Seems like cold regions like Greenland, models tend to overdue the ridging and warm regions like the west Atlantic tend be to underdone. I have zero data to back this up though.
  3. We wish it south now and flip the table in 6 months?
  4. Boring summer weather is fantastic. Lets leave the excitement for the cold months.
  5. Agree. Sorry but he ripped the gfs and other east models to shred. he ripped TWC for only going 8-12 in NYC. Well, when you are wrong, you should get blasted for it. Dont dish it if you cant take it.
  6. Dood...your gonna get pounded. The later capture is perfect for you....and this will capture/stall.
  7. I think a compromise is certainly reasonable at this juncture. Very tough forecast for the western edge...but it always is with these.
  8. Upton gradually shifted their map to the east, still showing insane amounts.
  9. I might have to take a nap to cool off my ocd....because I'm obsessing whether or not the euro will fail for the western part of the system. I'm torn.
  10. Miller Bs seem like they take longer to develop than models indicate.
  11. I can see 40" spots but after 2', it all looks the same to me....heaps.
  12. I think we a much bigger deform band...like just a big blob of it for everyone, with minimal subsidence.
  13. I will always remember this model war until I get old and my memory fades away....this is a classic battle.
  14. I've hugged the euro since it dropped 30 in NYC on 3 consecutive runs....to only see it tick east on the next 3. So yea, Im hugging it but I wouldn't be surprised if it ticked east again tonight, actually...i expect it to.
  15. Some models just shouldnt be used..it causes confusion and panic......and I fall right into it lol. I admit, I am not ashamed that my butt cheeks are tightly clenched for the next 8 hours.
  16. Why are short range models so southeast? It makes a world of difference for NYC. So close in and we still dont have consensus for upton's western zones.
  17. What a slow ride home from work. Seems like everyone in CT got out of work early. Roads starting to slick up a bit and wind is really whipping in spots already.
  18. I would like the rgem to be on board with euro. That would seal it.
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