RUNNAWAYICEBERG

It’s also finally shows the pre xmas potential.

Chilly, icy, with good snows up north.

Yes and it’s also not 4-5 days out. Strange FD there.

Must be the same met who put up flood warnings for last night...this morning.

Really? LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... With near zonal flow a progressive patter develops, and dry conditions will be short lived into early Monday. Surface high briefly builds behind the departing low to the north, and moves offshore Monday. Breezy conditions will be diminishing Sunday night as the high builds. The next system to impact the forecast area comes Monday as the high pushes offshore and a warm front develops and approaches from the southwest while at the same time, an area of low pressure develops over the Ohio Valley. There is some uncertainty as to how quickly the cold air will be replaced as high pressure tracks off shore Monday. With the progressive low have leaned toward a slightly warmer solutions, unlike the GFS and ECMWF. This low is forecast to track along the frontal boundary, moving in the vicinity of the forecast area Tuesday. Models show that the low will not be particularly strong as it heads over our region, but there could be a period of moderate precipitation Monday night associated with the approaching warm front. Uncertainty with model solutions Monday night onward will make precipitation type difficult to forecast at this point. However, do think thermal profiles will be cold enough at the start to support all snow at the start for most places, with a quick changeover to rain along the coast by mid Monday morning. However, QPF amounts will be light at this point, so little in the way of accumulation is expected. Despite warming aloft, there may be enough cold air in the lower levels where there may be an extended period of wintry precipitation inland, with freezing rain among the precipitation types. Again, this is 4 to 5 days out and the forecast is likely to change over the next couple of days. Associated cold front will move through late Monday night into Tuesday. Canadian high pressure builds in Wednesday through the end of next week, bringing below normal temperatures, but dry conditions.

MPM at it again. He and TBlizz have that region covered with ‘Meh’ manure.

fyp

Nammy colder and flatter.

Just emotions, nothing physical yet.

I don’t know what the parameters are for it, tbh, but that just seems odd and they always do that. I dislike criticizing pros in the field but that office is notorious for mistakes on relatively slam dunk forecasts.

Yea. At least it has been there on and off unlike previous start to winters.

We are now under a flood warning, after most of the rain has already fallen. No watch overnight just right to a warning when the event is practically over.

Seems like this has slowed down some. Overnight Monday into most of daytime Tuesday with a little bent back fronto post cold tuck?

Scooter shaft?

Euro is deff the coldest and most icy.

Just need the big boys to at least show they are thinking about it as well.

We call it Shittybury and Dirty Water for a reason.

There are more imminent dangers you should look out for in that city.

Right up your baby’s fanny.

Surprised no flood watch issued by Upton. I’m sure they’ll do it after 2” falls.

Ya’ll better run and hide when a Brooklyn cop gets this angry.

Of course not. We forget how difficult it is for the atmosphere to produce snow. With rain...a cloud forms and it wants to precipitate already.

If only it was that easy with frozen events, unlike the coast out east.

We jack water very well around these parts

And your 6z gfs has a Jan 16 like miracle for the boroughs.