Even if it had a 3ft bomb, just pass. I’m not even sure when it became a plausible model. The less models we look at, the better imo. Information, especially trash, over-load.
The WCB was intense. Picked up like 10” in 3 hours that morning. Ended up with 14”. Kind of a letdown though how in and out it was. Then the sleet and mood flakes for the rest of the day. Most forecasts had Danbury for 18-24” so when you ‘fall short’ with 14” it never sits well. NWCT had some 20” amounts and then west into NY is where it really piled up with 30-40”.
Iirc the ‘shift’ had more to do with mid level tracks going across SNE but models still putting out 18+ south of it so many forecasters were hesitant to put up big amounts but still did. But then the rule of ‘never go higher than 12” if mid levels are north of you’ was discussed, even if models are printing more.
I think it was Mar 17 where the signal was so strong from like D10. It was pretty crazy. Had SNE in the crush zone then inside D2 is when the inevitable NW ticks caught by the nammy began to happen and Freak got like 50”.
Nah you’re good man. I’m not sure there is even a hard rule about this but whoever starts the thread has a lot of explaining to do if it craps out and they’re banned from starting another one lol. Lots of weenie superstition around herr.
Nobody wants to be jacked consistently at this lead time. Just keep the signal there with the features in place and we’ll hyper analyze once this gets inside d4.