RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Nobody is panicking. D5 geez. Big signal is there.

I do as well. I told Ray I’m thinking this could be Boxing Day 2010 light (not as extreme). But the blocking helps get this captured earlier.

There’s the old Dr No run. Thankfully its at D5.

Yup. Early occlusion. Mid Atl ftw.

Crushes south central PA.

Looks like a weaker primary. Cooking up a straight miller A.

I would too. Many CTers should.

He’s ‘crazy’ for a reason.

Make sure move out of MA before she wins

I hope she doesn’t leave if she wins. (that’s what I tell mine).

Good point. That looks to be difference between a huge event or a great event. Pretty tight goalposts this far out, regardless.

Lol. That’s not what I was implying but you have a tendency to not believe early transfers or early occlusions. In a non blocked flow, I’m in your camp all day. In this setup, however, occluding off the NJ coast and crushing the interior mid atl is plausible...in addition to still giving EMA a great event. That’s all. Not sure what Dec or winter forecasting has anything to do with this, though, but yes we know your pre season calls are doing very well so far. I’ll have Santa sit on your lap in his long john’s on Christmas morning so you can read him your winter outlook in praise...

Fairly tight cluser: It does deviate from there though:

The 20-30” amounts are overdone anyway, regardless of location.

Maybe you are referring to PA as Philly and NJ as Atlantic City then because Im not seeing that in Scranton PA or Sussex NJ.

The tucked in and more miller A’ish look seems plausible which would put up big numbers in PA and NNJ. It doesn’t mean Metheun has to get shafted though.

Why are big amounts in PA and NNJ bs?

I’ll do my best and gve it everything I’ve got.

It’s all good. I can take it. We pray.

18+ sepa to sema.

Crushed.

lol I don’t think I’ve been negative. Just keeping expectations in check at d4-5. I’ll be all in if we get this inside D2.

Another hit. Can’t ask for more.

The icon doesn’t trend, it flails around. It’s down there with the jma and navy.

High likelihood of snow. Low likelihood of 18”.