RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG
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It’s definitely more amped with the primary which is ironic because this time around, we need that. We’ve been squirming over strong primaries all season. -
Let’s move the 0z euro 100mi east so we can all shake hands with our pants down.
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I dunno, people melt all the time over things they can’t control and not just weather. We are sensitive animals.
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Bobalina is looking for a big rain and wind storm though.
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Don’t waste your energy on it. If next week crushes he’ll be gone.
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Yea. We‘ll watch and salivate over explosive runs but we need to get this inside d5 for a better handle.
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We’ve seen how systems can trend in the d4-d5 range so everything is on the table at this point but with a spiking pna and decaying nao, the KU potential is there for anyone in the northeast.
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Euro loves to phase miller B’s too early. This has Jan15 vibes but the Weekend deal moved around so much and slipped away at d4 that I’ll just keep this on the back burner until that range.
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I thought it would be better at the surface with the stall/loop south of LI though but the best goods were across LI. Still a good hit for south zones.
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Crushed SoP, especially the coast.
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Gfs further south, but should deliver for sne.
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Euro/eps jumps around thesedays. Hopefully 12z was an overcorrection.
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Gefs is weaker and se from 12z with a flatter rockies ridge indicating a clear move to the uk/euro/cmc camp.
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Agree but good thing nina is fading.
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Yea…that’s a nasty wcb thump at hr120.
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Actually turns out pretty good out this way lol
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Gfs is worlds apart from uk/euro/cmc with icon in the middle for a big sne hit. ..so we’ll go with that.
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Not all asses are the same though?
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I could be wrong, but this is the vort I saw that acts to strengthen the confluence on the backside of the 50/50. In other views, you can see it dive SE stretching the low heights SW instead of wrapping to the east.
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That’s how I see it. The blockier solutions also seem to favor a perfectly timed lobe pinwheeling on the backside of the departing 50/50 low which isn’t in an ideal spot to begin with for suppression but it manages to shunt the system into bermuda anyway.
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Trends through 84hrs we’re definitely better on all guidance, the divergence started after that. Onto 18z…
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Don’t sweat it bud, we’ll get crushed with deform rains in Hatepril.
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UK/Euro having the cmc in their camp isn’t a stamp of approval either but let’s see how the next 24hrs unfold. I think storm 1 will reveal its tendencies by this time tomorrow.
