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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

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Everything posted by RUNNAWAYICEBERG

  1. Yea. I guess we toss models today and nowcast. It’s so marginal in so many areas, the bust potential is high in both directions. I would love to send you a bag of gummies…
  2. The less models the better imo but the euro should roll back several upgrades instead lol. I’m sure it scores really well at H5 in Scandinavia.
  3. I get emails but not app notifications. There is a settings feature within the app but cbs platform can be wonky.
  4. You just can’t ride it like we used to. It used to sniff out an evolution and make incremental adjustments which made it easier to forecast…but nowadays it jumps around like every other model. It’s JAM now.
  5. It’s a wrap. Pray for flakes down there but anything substantial is hanging on by a thread. OKX has me under a WWA for 2-3” lol. No bag of gummies for Steve and no Mikee’s sub for Jay.
  6. The writing is on the wall out here. First call still stands at 6-10” but the bust factor is real. I’m checking out for a bit.
  7. Stop it Steve lol. I’ll send you a big bag of gummies if I get over 16”.
  8. Historic stuff is off the table except for select spots. Yea. GFS had the right idea all along, just saying.
  9. A clear nudge to the others so we'll need to squeeze the nip and squeeze it earlier over the next 24-36hrs.
  10. We know you need snow but your PBP is awful. Lean back homie...
  11. The regionwide big event is gone. The double low issue that seems to rear it's ugly head in nina states is real. We can salvage a decent storm though.
  12. They are all JV models this season so I wouldn’t weigh one over the others. It would be nice to get a consensus by 0z tonight but the way things are going, even if we did, tomorrow’s 12z will throw a few curveballs anyway.
  13. Funny how you have globals like euro and gfs chasing convection with double boobs while meso’s consolidate it. Only the cmc global consolidates and frankly it’s been consistent…doesn’t mean it is correct though but you have to give consistency some weight.
  14. It’s a JAM. 2023 and not one piece of guidance can consistently narrow the goalposts inside at D2.
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