How bad it’s been, this would feel like KU:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc-imp&rh=2024010200&fh=150&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Maybe but I think this has room for a little more ooph with the trailing sw and good HP above. Obviously this can also crap the bed but as long as were keeping this within striking distance, I’d rather see the more robust hits come inside D3.
Eps mean was too warm and north for my liking. Would much rather have this be se until inside D4 anyway. Southern streamers…better to yank nw then se imo