Weather World posted the snow to date numbers for PA and except for the northern tier it's a near normal winter. Goes to show how getting the snow all in one shot effects ones expectations.
But I have to take issue with the January stands at 50-75% normal to date- .8" is in not that close when I average 10"
Great winter storm thanks to the Canadiens over 24 hours ice storm for our southern half and snow in the north. It also extends half way through New York state plenty of room for squash adjustment.
0z summary
GFS lost in space with a low in the lakes
ECM even more squashed nary a flake in Qtown
ICON decent track but rain for all
Para GFS like the ICON but southern slider rainstorm
CMC euro clone
UKMET like the ICON
This hobby is ridiculous
The block is really starting to assert itself on guidance. Today's GFS para an example of what could go wrong leaving us northern folk smoking cirrus and flurries.
The OP delays the 12z EPS big dog look to day 10+, and wave #1 could be a medium dog if trends a little south.
* not sure what happened to the little dog it may have been eaten by the big dog
Pummeled, crushed and obliterated on the EPS ensembles. Go time, this was worth the wait, and saves winter all rolled into one. What could possibly go wrong?