RedSky
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Everything posted by RedSky
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January 31-February 2, 2021 Major Winter Storm Observations
RedSky replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
It's like Eagles game 2013 surprise snow part 2 already a couple tenths down. Word is "family member" went to church cause accu-weather said start time around 4pm and is in panic -
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Strong storms hugging the coast almost always mix even in SEPA for a time
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As expected yes most of it S&E of I95
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Comprehensive area of 12-20"
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Spins along the coast of Atlantic City for 18 hours!
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Dave made a little bend in his oval to include you, send a thank you card
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DT's last call is out
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Uncle is 12-16" with no north move Tracks like the Canadians but less juice
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Ukie is coming in BIG
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As in getting that deja vu feeling we did this exact routine the day before in December haha
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Any chance that is Bruce Campbell as in Hail to the King baby!
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CMC bullseye is IMBY
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Para GFS been a rock near steadfast solution
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Yep correct the reggie says much more
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No point arguing that exact location the coastal sets up it won't be known until Monday am
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Icon targets Quakertown with 25"
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Welcome to Macungie the new Tahoe of the east
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March 58 ten miles up the road and I get skunked with just 48"
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Strange we got Roger Smithed but still waiting on being NAM'd
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We know you have to go conservative with these storms because 90% of the time the ground truth is the low end of forecast/guidance amounts. The thing I find intriguing is the amount of time this storm is going to hang out vs our typical steady movers. I would think the odds would be better of hitting high end guidance with this one, time will tell. I have only seen 3 storms in my lifetime hit the magical 20" number and the only way you get there is a slow crawl.
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Expectations set at lucky 13" now I sit back and let the Miller B fly
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Mount Holy is going all out at 12-18" that is interesting also. I like 10-15" myself as a personal guess.
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Weather World says meh 6-10" in SEPA in the forecast out 2 hours ago. A bit conservative.
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Even though it's short term the ensembles can still be used to detect last hour trends north/south for example the big move north in the December storm
