Hurricane Agnes

See that in central PA moving this way and agree about any travel. This will be a bear to clear.

Still sleeting here and it is piling up. I had to get the shovel to push it away from the door (we have a service that does the lots and walks, etc here but they abandoned ship for now ). Currently 17, which is actually my high for the day so far (after an 11 low), with a dp that has been gradually increasing and now up to 15.

Blowing and drifting. I have over 1 ft drifts and I know that snow blew off the top of accumulation where my board is. When I stepped out on the patio for my 5 pm measurement, I really sunk in and I did do some ruler measurements at other locations on the patio at that time, and was getting anywhere from 7' - 11" at 5 pm (patio is poured concrete but I have a bunch of containers out there too so I really don't have a good flat surface for the board except up on a table. The 4" measurement was done at around 11 am before the switch to sleet that happened just before noon.

The other models weren't showing ip until Sunday and were overdoing the snow thump in the I-95 corridor/city. Paul had posted a NAM sleet map back last Thursday and it was persistent with it. It was just the past day or two when the weather services had to scale back the city numbers. The other models were also discounting the ZR and now you have ZR in south Jersey and moving in to PA.

Did a 5pm measurement and got another 0.75" of sleet and now have a snow/sleet total of 5.75" Still had heavy sleet going at the time but it is like course sand - easy to push and it was easy to clear the board. It keeps drifting up to my back door and now my front door. ZR line looks to be approaching just below the city. Gonna say it again - NAM nailed it.

Have about 80% snow/sleet mix now with temp at 15 and dp 13. Still wondering about that firehose headed this way.

Just measured the board. Currently puking sleet again and measured 1" of it. That would bring my snow/sleet total to 5". Temp now "up to" 16 with dp 14.

That may have been what I have been seeing. It was coming down like white rain and not as pingers but apparently didn't last long enough for accretion (so far) and am back to mostly pingers/snow.

Checked and am back to about 50/50 snow/sleet (can definitely hear the pingers again). Not seeing accretion so if there was rain mixed it, it may have been FRDZ. Currently 15 with dp 13.

I think the NAM was taking it as a long duration (into Monday) event for whatever frozen ptype was going to fall. Since this is pulling a lot of moisture from the Gulf, it could continue to go for some time as long as it doesn't get blocked too much. Added a map below from the SE and you can see the firehose of warm moisture coming out the Gulf. I have switched back to mostly fine show and hear very little pingers but at the rate the flakes are falling, it *might be* a rain/snow mix.

Yeah that depiction is pretty cool and is also capturing the "overrunning" rain of this event that had been forecast early on and now as it moves east, TN is getting some nasty ZR.

Did some fooling around with the weathermodels.com stuff and found this (it was definitely what the NAM has shown for a couple days in a row) -

Have been puking sleet the past half hour, where the earlier mixing was there about 10 minutes ago and is now pure sleet, with some blowing snow mixing in from roof tops. Temp is up to 15 and dp 12. Well that might depend on what that High sitting over Maine does.

Am thinking some wrap-around snow finish once the low moves away. It's sitting right near Hampton, VA. There's some real cold air still out there.

Currently have a snow/sleet mix - you can see the flakes and hear the pingers. Temp is currently 13 with dp 11.