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About Volcanic Winter

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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
EWR
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Location:
Ocean & Union, NJ
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People can have their opinions, we don’t need to attack them for not saying what we want them too. Frankly it’s what I dislike about some of the other boards here. What is going to happen is irrelevant to what anyone on here says or thinks, so allow people the courtesy of their own take. I don’t know why that always ends up threatening to some - IE not hearing what you want to hear leads to mocking, which reads defensive.
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Stay safe
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Accuweather had me at 6-10 all day while also linking to the official 20-24 inch Blizzard warning. Bit of a disparity.
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It’s okay guys, I’ll take this one for the team.
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Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
Volcanic Winter replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Sometimes it’s good to know what to expect in precisely 11 minutes. -
Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
Volcanic Winter replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Accuweather going super conservative still calling for 6-10 inches here with a blizzard warning underneath for 20-24. Wow, I’ve never seen a disparity like that and I’ve always considered Accuweather decent for snow - they must be very bearish. I’m in Seaside at the moment with my parents but same in TR / Manchester, 6-10. -
Winter cancelled/uncancelled banter 25/26
Volcanic Winter replied to Rjay's topic in New York City Metro
Didn’t the GFS hold onto the follow up storm after 1/25 a bit too long as well? It was the last to trend out to sea; that was definitely in my head all week. Expecting it to finally cave, and it didn’t. Crazy times. -
Totally fair, just for my thinking the parallels to the follow up storm a week after 1/25 are undeniable. Of course hoping for a better outcome.
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Not caught up in the thread but wow 18z Euro has a shift west + a healthier northwestern precip shield. I had just told my wife to write this thing off, not about to believe the GFS on an island again. Positive development if this repeats next run. Euro has been locked in on nothing.
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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Volcanic Winter replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Today was a pack destroyer down here, no doubt. Lucky that it was such a moisture-packed glacier, holding onto about 3-5 inches of actual pack. Piles still going strong, that’s gonna take a lot more to melt through. 9-10 days have been above freezing this month so far, just really excellent retention this year - the deep freeze damn near turned it all to stone. Back down to 28f. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Volcanic Winter replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Last two days really started killing it, but still holding on surprisingly well. Best retention since the 2013-2015 block down here, no question. -
Interestingly, looked back at my Tempest for last January - 29.3. This Jan - 29.7. Two sub 30F January’s in a row in Toms River, last February finished up at 35f.
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February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Volcanic Winter replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Steady very light snow, diamond dust style. Coating appearing on our cul-de-sac. Cool and pretty out at the moment, beautiful sparkle on the pack from the small flakes. 26F 23DP. No complaints! Winter vibes always welcome. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Volcanic Winter replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Yeah, I’ve had off and on flurrying the past hour +. 28f. … 27 now actually. No coating yet, very sparse / intermittent. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
Volcanic Winter replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
I mean I’m at the southern ass end of the metro, 10 miles from the coast and it was an immensely memorable storm. 10.5ish inches with mix that accumulated, mostly icy - total glacier. I don’t know anywhere around this area it wasn’t a substantial snowfall. I still have 70% of this pack today, and had icicles everywhere for over a week. Personally I don’t know how anyone could view this as not an outstanding winter period, it wasn’t a prolific block of repeat snowfall, but it was a substantial storm + lingering cold area wide which is near as good as it gets. But we all do have our preferences and I think people instinctually attribute it to location and I don’t necessarily agree that’s what it is, we just all like and look for different things - it’s not intrinsic to one location vs another. I dislike March not because I’m in a southern location, but more because of long days and imminent spring marking the end of winter, a season I enjoy looking forward to, as an example. We just have to accept we all like different things, I read all three main northeast forums and the amount people bicker over this stuff baffles me. Biggest storm here since 16 inches + on 1/29/22.
