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snowman33

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Everything posted by snowman33

  1. Yeah, the models shifted GHD I northwest a day or so before the storm. Yup, I've noticed it too. Has happened with many systems. There tends to be a regression toward what the climate favors.
  2. Looks eerily similar to the early GHD I maps.
  3. Consensus is growing for the first wave. The real question then becomes will the second wave be amped like the GFS or suppressed like the Euro. There is lots of potential for a massive storm as many have already said.
  4. Guys... IT'S GHD III!!!!! #HypeTrain
  5. I-72 has been getting screwed for over a decade. So many promising starts turning into north shifts and near misses.
  6. 01/29/15 12z GFS run: Result:
  7. Wake me up once the Euro stops showing 3 inches of QPF. The drawn-out nature of the system is leading to decreased overall accuracy.
  8. Still a long way to go, things could really fall apart or come together in the next 2 days.
  9. "Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ..." vs "Feb 1 -3 potential mess"
  10. https://www.chestnutmtn.com/live-cameras/ The 0z HRRR still initialized too far north. It's already snowing near Galena, IL, the returns there aren't virga.
  11. I can only chuckle at the continued December futility.
  12. I just tell people I storm chase, sounds much cooler. What I don't tell people is that much of the time I'm chasing something that can't be found.
  13. Not looking too hot. I wouldn't completely throw in the towel jut yet though.
  14. I've been lurking on sites like this since 2009. Excited for another winter season. Seems like it's been hard to get respectable Decembers in these parts for a long time.
  15. Gonna roll with 0-1" IMBY right now due to the time of year and uncertainty over evolution. Could be wrong though, I've seen stranger. Might have to revise.
  16. Hopefully another snowy winter is in the cards.
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