snowman33
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Everything posted by snowman33
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Just measured π" IMBY.
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Kuchera or 10:1, pick the one that has the highest amounts. Gotta love it.
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Wait for the FV3 before making that call.
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Like bruh, we're the USA and the Europeans do a better job of predicting our own weather.
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Thinking the Euro is gonna take the cake with this one, but we'll see.
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5.6" at ORD? At this rate, GHD IV is gonna be a 33 and rain event.
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26 inches in Champaign on the GFS, guessing that would smash the current record. I wonder if it will verify.
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Ended up being a tick north in Chicago.
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If my memory serves me correctly, the central axis of the heaviest snow was modelled to run through Valparaiso and South Bend on the globals. Then the hi-res models latched onto the north shift.
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Yes lol.
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Couldn't find the regular thread, but going off the GHD I weenie maps in there it looks like there was a bit of a north shift. For GHD II, the Euro was south around this time.
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Going back to GHD II, it was the NAM that sniffed out the further north solution that ended up verifying. The Euro was south.
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Both GHD events shifted north within the final 48 hours. Guess we'll see if third time's the charm.
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Ride the Lake.
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Yeah, the models shifted GHD I northwest a day or so before the storm. Yup, I've noticed it too. Has happened with many systems. There tends to be a regression toward what the climate favors.
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Looks eerily similar to the early GHD I maps.
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Consensus is growing for the first wave. The real question then becomes will the second wave be amped like the GFS or suppressed like the Euro. There is lots of potential for a massive storm as many have already said.
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Guys... IT'S GHD III!!!!! #HypeTrain
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I-72 has been getting screwed for over a decade. So many promising starts turning into north shifts and near misses.
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01/29/15 12z GFS run: Result:
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Wake me up once the Euro stops showing 3 inches of QPF. The drawn-out nature of the system is leading to decreased overall accuracy.
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Still a long way to go, things could really fall apart or come together in the next 2 days.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
snowman33 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
"Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ..." vs "Feb 1 -3 potential mess"
